PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2023

Real Madrid 3–3 Manchester City · UEFA Champions League

3–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid and Manchester City drew 3–3.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
0.650.8
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid and Manchester City drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Manchester City): shots 14–12, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 0.65–0.8, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Manchester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Manchester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.2 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Manchester City20.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridManchester CityBaseline
Shots18.2 shots/match20.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match6.78 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Manchester City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Manchester City's last-five shots average is below their season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season20.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match20.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.9%PossessionReal Madrid · Manchester City● 70.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridManchester CityBaseline
Possession54.9%70.2%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsReal Madrid 14 shots, Manchester City 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsReal Madrid 5 shots, Manchester City 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.65 xG0.8 xGReal Madrid 0.65 xG, Manchester City 0.8 xG
  • Possession38%62%Real Madrid 38%, Manchester City 62%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersReal Madrid 4 corners, Manchester City 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsReal Madrid 11 fouls, Manchester City 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Real Madrid
1Draws
2Manchester City
Manchester City — Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League4–0
Real Madrid — Manchester City · UEFA Champions League1–1
Real Madrid — Manchester City · UEFA Champions League2–1
Manchester City — Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League4–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Manchester City in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid9 matchesManchester City9 matches
2.33 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 3 goals/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.33 goals/match
2 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 2.48 xG/match
18.2 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 20.3 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 8.44 shots/match
54.9%Possession9/9● 70.2%
6.67 corners/match ●Corners9/95.11 corners/match
9.78 fouls/matchFouls9/96.56 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 9 Apr 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal MadridManchester City
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2023/24
Head-to-headReal Madrid — Manchester City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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