PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Mallorca 0–1 Real Madrid · La Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 0–1.

Shots
616
Shots on target
29
Expected goals
0.591.6
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Mallorca 1–0. Recorded in this match (Mallorca – Real Madrid): shots 6–16, shots on target 2–9, expected goals 0.59–1.6, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Mallorca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.81 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsMallorca · Real Madrid16.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMallorcaReal MadridBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match16.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match9.68 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.9%PossessionMallorca · Real Madrid● 59.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMallorcaReal MadridBaseline
Possession43.9%59.7%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots16 shotsMallorca 6 shots, Real Madrid 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots9 shotsMallorca 2 shots, Real Madrid 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.59 xG1.6 xGMallorca 0.59 xG, Real Madrid 1.6 xG
  • Possession44%56%Mallorca 44%, Real Madrid 56%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersMallorca 4 corners, Real Madrid 2 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls7 foulsMallorca 18 fouls, Real Madrid 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Aurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSergi Darder · Mallorca · 74′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAntonio Raíllo · Mallorca · 31′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 48′ · 0.02 xG · goalAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuka Modrić · Real Madrid · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 73′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoselu · Real Madrid · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 69′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 47′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJoselu · Real Madrid · 83′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMatija Nastasić · Mallorca · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 67′ · 0.09 xG · on targetBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 55′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAbdón Prats · Mallorca · 60′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLuka Modrić · Real Madrid · 61′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.15 xG · on targetFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 72′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 61′ · 0.33 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Mallorca: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.60 xG. Real Madrid: 16 shots, 8 on target, 1.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Aurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 48′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Mallorca 0.60 xG · Real Madrid 1.56 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Mallorca
0Draws
4Real Madrid
Real Madrid — Mallorca · La Liga1–0
Mallorca — Real Madrid · La Liga1–0
Real Madrid — Mallorca · La Liga4–1
Mallorca — Real Madrid · La Liga0–3
Real Madrid — Mallorca · La Liga6–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mallorca favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mallorca31 matchesReal Madrid31 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 2.16 goals/match
1.16 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 0.65 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.89 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 16.1 shots/match
3.48 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 6.45 shots/match
43.9%Possession31/31● 59.7%
4.52 corners/matchCorners31/31● 5.9 corners/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls31/319.81 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Apr 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMallorcaReal Madrid
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headMallorca — Real Madrid
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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