PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Union Berlin 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 0–1.

Shots
920
Shots on target
08
Expected goals
0.323
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat 1. FC Union Berlin 1–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Union Berlin – Bayer 04 Leverkusen): shots 9–20, shots on target 0–8, expected goals 0.32–3, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.89 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1. FC Union Berlin show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

1. FC Union Berlin's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match ▲Shots1. FC Union Berlin · Bayer 04 Leverkusen18.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FC Union BerlinBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match18.4 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match8.39 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.4%Possession1. FC Union Berlin · Bayer 04 Leverkusen● 63.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.9 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC Union BerlinBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Possession42.4%63.4%47.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots20 shots1. FC Union Berlin 9 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 20 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots8 shots1. FC Union Berlin 0 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.32 xG3 xG1. FC Union Berlin 0.32 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 xG
  • Possession34%66%1. FC Union Berlin 34%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 66%
  • Corners7 corners10 corners1. FC Union Berlin 7 corners, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 10 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls14 fouls1. FC Union Berlin 10 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Piero Hincapié · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlex Král · 1. FC Union Berlin · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlex Král · 1. FC Union Berlin · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFrederik Rønnow · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFrederik Rønnow · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdam Hložek · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobin Gosens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobert Andrich · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrás Schäfer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Tah · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Leite · 1. FC Union Berlin · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRani Khedira · 1. FC Union Berlin · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobert Andrich · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 43′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGranit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 6′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 11′ · 0.09 xG · on targetFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBorja Iglesias · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 3′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 52′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPiero Hincapié · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedYorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 39′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAmine Adli · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 59′ · 0.18 xG · on targetNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 77′ · 0.18 xG · on targetBorja Iglesias · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 15′ · 0.24 xG · on targetAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 28′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedAmine Adli · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.48 xG · on targetFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Union Berlin: 9 shots, 0 on target, 0.31 xG. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 20 shots, 8 on target, 2.99 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Florian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Union Berlin 0.31 xG · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.99 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

01. FC Union Berlin
3Draws
2Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga4–0
1. FC Union Berlin — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga0–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga5–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–2
1. FC Union Berlin — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin28 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen28 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 2.46 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 0.68 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 2.13 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 18.4 shots/match
3.79 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 7.04 shots/match
42.4%Possession28/28● 63.4%
4.54 corners/matchCorners28/28● 7.21 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls28/289.07 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Apr 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union BerlinBayer 04 Leverkusen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-head1. FC Union Berlin — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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