PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

FC Augsburg 2–0 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Augsburg won 2–0.

Shots
1017
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.61.6
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Augsburg beat 1. FC Union Berlin 2–0. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – 1. FC Union Berlin): shots 10–17, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.6–1.6, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots17 shotsFC Augsburg 10 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsFC Augsburg 4 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.6 xG1.6 xGFC Augsburg 1.6 xG, 1. FC Union Berlin 1.6 xG
  • Possession47%53%FC Augsburg 47%, 1. FC Union Berlin 53%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersFC Augsburg 5 corners, 1. FC Union Berlin 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls14 foulsFC Augsburg 15 fouls, 1. FC Union Berlin 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Diogo Leite · 1. FC Union Berlin · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMikkel Kaufmann · 1. FC Union Berlin · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTim Breithaupt · FC Augsburg · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrás Schäfer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlex Král · 1. FC Union Berlin · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrás Schäfer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArne Maier · FC Augsburg · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBrenden Aaronson · 1. FC Union Berlin · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 12′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMikkel Kaufmann · 1. FC Union Berlin · 17′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 64′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAlex Král · 1. FC Union Berlin · 86′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBrenden Aaronson · 1. FC Union Berlin · 87′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChris Bedia · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDanilho Doekhi · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKevin Volland · 1. FC Union Berlin · 88′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlex Král · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMikkel Kaufmann · 1. FC Union Berlin · 10′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPep Biel · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPep Biel · FC Augsburg · 78′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedArne Maier · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 72′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.24 xG · on targetSven Michel · FC Augsburg · 81′ · 0.31 xG · goalAlex Král · 1. FC Union Berlin · 26′ · 0.57 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 47′ · 0.58 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Augsburg: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.65 xG. 1. FC Union Berlin: 17 shots, 3 on target, 1.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Phillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 47′Sven Michel · FC Augsburg · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Augsburg 1.65 xG · 1. FC Union Berlin 1.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Augsburg
3Draws
01. FC Union Berlin
1. FC Union Berlin — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–1
FC Augsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–0
1. FC Union Berlin — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–2
FC Augsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–0
1. FC Union Berlin — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg29 matches1. FC Union Berlin29 matches
1.62 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/290.86 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed29/291.55 goals/match
1.42 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/291.14 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots29/2911.8 shots/match
4.28 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/293.76 shots/match
44.5% ●Possession29/2942.8%
4.69 corners/match ●Corners29/294.52 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls29/2911.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 12 Apr 2024, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Augsburg1. FC Union Berlin
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headFC Augsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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