PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

FC Augsburg 1–1 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Augsburg and 1. FC Köln drew 1–1.

Shots
2512
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
2.221.33
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Augsburg and 1. FC Köln drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – 1. FC Köln): shots 25–12, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 2.22–1.33, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1. FC Köln have a visible away split

moderate

1. FC Köln's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.93 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.93 shots/match11.9 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots12 shotsFC Augsburg 25 shots, 1. FC Köln 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsFC Augsburg 6 shots, 1. FC Köln 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.22 xG1.33 xGFC Augsburg 2.22 xG, 1. FC Köln 1.33 xG
  • Possession56%44%FC Augsburg 56%, 1. FC Köln 44%
  • Corners12 corners6 cornersFC Augsburg 12 corners, 1. FC Köln 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls13 foulsFC Augsburg 9 fouls, 1. FC Köln 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Elvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Kainz · 1. FC Köln · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSargis Adamyan · 1. FC Köln · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIago Borduchi · FC Augsburg · 31′ · 0.03 xG · on targetArne Maier · FC Augsburg · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJan Uwe Thielmann · 1. FC Köln · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFelix Uduokhai · FC Augsburg · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPep Biel · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKristijan Jakić · FC Augsburg · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFaride Alidou · 1. FC Köln · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKristijan Jakić · FC Augsburg · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFaride Alidou · 1. FC Köln · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDion Drena Beljo · FC Augsburg · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKristijan Jakić · FC Augsburg · 35′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSargis Adamyan · 1. FC Köln · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDamion Downs · 1. FC Köln · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDion Drena Beljo · FC Augsburg · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMads Pedersen · FC Augsburg · 47′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArne Maier · FC Augsburg · 18′ · 0.07 xG · goalElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 56′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDion Drena Beljo · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 49′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFelix Uduokhai · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKristijan Jakić · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 59′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 87′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedTimo Hübers · 1. FC Köln · 21′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedDavie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 33′ · 0.66 xG · goalDion Drena Beljo · FC Augsburg · 70′ · 0.89 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Augsburg: 25 shots, 5 on target, 2.19 xG. 1. FC Köln: 12 shots, 2 on target, 1.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Arne Maier · FC Augsburg · 18′Davie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 33′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Augsburg 2.19 xG · 1. FC Köln 1.33 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Augsburg
1Draws
31. FC Köln
1. FC Köln — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–1
FC Augsburg — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–3
1. FC Köln — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–2
FC Augsburg — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–4
1. FC Köln — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Köln in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg27 matches1. FC Köln27 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/270.78 goals/match
1.59 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.78 goals/match
1.42 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.04 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots27/2711.9 shots/match
4.19 shots/matchShots on target27/274 shots/match
44.4%Possession27/27● 44.4%
4.63 corners/matchCorners27/27● 5.15 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls27/2711.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 Mar 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Augsburg1. FC Köln
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headFC Augsburg — 1. FC Köln
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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