PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Köln 2–1 VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Köln won 2–1.

Shots
2011
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.060.59
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Köln beat VfL Bochum 1848 2–1. Recorded in this match (1. FC Köln – VfL Bochum 1848): shots 20–11, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.06–0.59, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Köln's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Köln's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.82 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfL Bochum 1848 have a visible away split

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match14.6 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots11 shots1. FC Köln 20 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shots1. FC Köln 7 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.06 xG0.59 xG1. FC Köln 1.06 xG, VfL Bochum 1848 0.59 xG
  • Possession56%44%1. FC Köln 56%, VfL Bochum 1848 44%
  • Corners9 corners4 corners1. FC Köln 9 corners, VfL Bochum 1848 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls13 fouls1. FC Köln 16 fouls, VfL Bochum 1848 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Keven Schlotterbeck · VfL Bochum 1848 · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSteffen Tigges · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKeven Schlotterbeck · VfL Bochum 1848 · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSargis Adamyan · 1. FC Köln · 19′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFaride Alidou · 1. FC Köln · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 85′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSteffen Tigges · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.02 xG · goalLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLinton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 13′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTimo Hübers · 1. FC Köln · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJan Uwe Thielmann · 1. FC Köln · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMax Finkgrafe · 1. FC Köln · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 89′ · 0.03 xG · on targetErhan Mašović · VfL Bochum 1848 · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLinton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFaride Alidou · 1. FC Köln · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.04 xG · goalLinton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 46′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLinton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 56′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedErhan Mašović · VfL Bochum 1848 · 30′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEric Martel · 1. FC Köln · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Losilla · VfL Bochum 1848 · 83′ · 0.09 xG · on targetDavie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 63′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Losilla · VfL Bochum 1848 · 22′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedFelix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 53′ · 0.12 xG · goalSargis Adamyan · 1. FC Köln · 10′ · 0.13 xG · on targetSargis Adamyan · 1. FC Köln · 14′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Köln: 20 shots, 7 on target, 1.09 xG. VfL Bochum 1848: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Luca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 90′Steffen Tigges · 1. FC Köln · 90′Felix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 53′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Köln 1.09 xG · VfL Bochum 1848 0.59 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Köln favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Bochum 1848 in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Köln28 matchesVfL Bochum 184828 matches
0.82 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.18 goals/match
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/282.07 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.27 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 14.6 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 4.36 shots/match
44.9%Possession28/28● 45.5%
5.29 corners/match ●Corners28/284.14 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls28/2813.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Apr 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC KölnVfL Bochum 1848
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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