PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Wolfsburg won 1–0.

Shots
913
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
0.851.3
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Wolfsburg beat VfL Bochum 1848 1–0. Recorded in this match (VfL Wolfsburg – VfL Bochum 1848): shots 9–13, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 0.85–1.3, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Bochum 1848's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfL Bochum 1848 have a visible away split

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12.5 fouls/matchFoulsVfL Wolfsburg · VfL Bochum 184813.3 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricVfL WolfsburgVfL Bochum 1848Baseline
Fouls12.5 fouls/match13.3 fouls/match11.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots13 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 9 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotVfL Wolfsburg 5 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.85 xG1.3 xGVfL Wolfsburg 0.85 xG, VfL Bochum 1848 1.3 xG
  • Possession46%54%VfL Wolfsburg 46%, VfL Bochum 1848 54%
  • Corners5 corners8 cornersVfL Wolfsburg 5 corners, VfL Bochum 1848 8 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsVfL Wolfsburg 11 fouls, VfL Bochum 1848 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Cedric Zesiger · VfL Wolfsburg · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFelix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Antwi-Adjei · VfL Bochum 1848 · 61′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKeven Schlotterbeck · VfL Bochum 1848 · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTakuma Asano · VfL Bochum 1848 · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBernardo · VfL Bochum 1848 · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKilian Fischer · VfL Wolfsburg · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBernardo · VfL Bochum 1848 · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRidle Baku · VfL Wolfsburg · 3′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 43′ · 0.08 xG · goalSebastiaan Bornauw · VfL Wolfsburg · 68′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAmin Sarr · VfL Wolfsburg · 67′ · 0.09 xG · on targetTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 46′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJakub Kamiński · VfL Wolfsburg · 86′ · 0.10 xG · on targetPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 71′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Osterhage · VfL Bochum 1848 · 28′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedKevin Paredes · VfL Wolfsburg · 88′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedTakuma Asano · VfL Bochum 1848 · 32′ · 0.66 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Wolfsburg: 9 shots, 5 on target, 0.87 xG. VfL Bochum 1848: 13 shots, 1 on target, 1.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 43′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Wolfsburg 0.87 xG · VfL Bochum 1848 1.27 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Wolfsburg favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Bochum 1848 in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Wolfsburg30 matchesVfL Bochum 184830 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored30/301.13 goals/match
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/302 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 1.27 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 14.8 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/304.27 shots/match
47.6% ●Possession30/3046.3%
4.4 corners/match ●Corners30/304.33 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls30/3013.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Apr 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL WolfsburgVfL Bochum 1848
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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