PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

SC Freiburg 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Wolfsburg won 1–2.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
2.250.53
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Wolfsburg beat SC Freiburg 2–1. Recorded in this match (SC Freiburg – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 15–12, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 2.25–0.53, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Freiburg have a visible home split

moderate

SC Freiburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsSC Freiburg 15 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsSC Freiburg 3 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.25 xG0.53 xGSC Freiburg 2.25 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 0.53 xG
  • Possession51%49%SC Freiburg 51%, VfL Wolfsburg 49%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersSC Freiburg 3 corners, VfL Wolfsburg 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls8 foulsSC Freiburg 13 fouls, VfL Wolfsburg 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4SC Freiburg
0Draws
1VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–1
SC Freiburg — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga2–0
VfL Wolfsburg — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga6–0
SC Freiburg — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga3–2
VfL Wolfsburg — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Freiburg favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Freiburg31 matchesVfL Wolfsburg31 matches
1.39 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/311.19 goals/match
1.77 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1.65 goals/match
1.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/311.18 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots31/3112.1 shots/match
4.39 shots/matchShots on target31/314.48 shots/match
45.7%Possession31/31● 47.7%
3.81 corners/matchCorners31/31● 4.45 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls31/3112.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Apr 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC FreiburgVfL Wolfsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headSC Freiburg — VfL Wolfsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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