PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

FC Bayern München 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 2–1.

Shots
2010
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
3.360.49
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat Eintracht Frankfurt 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Bayern München – Eintracht Frankfurt): shots 20–10, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 3.36–0.49, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.52 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.52 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Eintracht Frankfurt show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

19.7 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Bayern München · Eintracht Frankfurt11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenEintracht FrankfurtBaseline
Shots19.7 shots/match11.3 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against9.94 shots/match12.7 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Eintracht Frankfurt have a visible away split

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.19 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.19 shots/match11.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots10 shotsFC Bayern München 20 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 10 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsFC Bayern München 9 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.36 xG0.49 xGFC Bayern München 3.36 xG, Eintracht Frankfurt 0.49 xG
  • Possession62%38%FC Bayern München 62%, Eintracht Frankfurt 38%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersFC Bayern München 4 corners, Eintracht Frankfurt 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls7 foulsFC Bayern München 11 fouls, Eintracht Frankfurt 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Leon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnsgar Knauff · Eintracht Frankfurt · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAurélio Buta · Eintracht Frankfurt · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKim Min-jae · FC Bayern München · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 23′ · 0.03 xG · goalEllyes Skhiri · Eintracht Frankfurt · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 83′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 18′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNoussair Mazraoui · FC Bayern München · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEric Dier · FC Bayern München · 30′ · 0.07 xG · on targetEric Maxim Choupo-Moting · FC Bayern München · 30′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAnsgar Knauff · Eintracht Frankfurt · 43′ · 0.08 xG · on targetThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 65′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 6′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedEric Dier · FC Bayern München · 22′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 29′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 26′ · 0.23 xG · on targetRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.59 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 9′ · 0.79 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 61′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Bayern München: 20 shots, 8 on target, 3.42 xG. Eintracht Frankfurt: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 9′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 61′Hugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 23′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 3.42 xG · Eintracht Frankfurt 0.48 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Bayern München
1Draws
2Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga5–1
FC Bayern München — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–6
Eintracht Frankfurt — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–1
FC Bayern München — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Eintracht Frankfurt in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München31 matchesEintracht Frankfurt31 matches
2.87 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/311.52 goals/match
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/311.35 goals/match
2.69 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/311.35 xG/match
19.7 shots/match ▲Shots31/3111.3 shots/match
7.48 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/314.26 shots/match
62.6% ●Possession31/3152%
7.03 corners/match ●Corners31/314.35 corners/match
9.03 fouls/matchFouls31/3110.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Apr 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Bayern MünchenEintracht Frankfurt
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headFC Bayern München — Eintracht Frankfurt
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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