PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Eintracht Frankfurt won 3–1.

Shots
126
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
1.850.45
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Eintracht Frankfurt beat FC Augsburg 3–1. Recorded in this match (Eintracht Frankfurt – FC Augsburg): shots 12–6, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 1.85–0.45, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.53 goals/match1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Eintracht Frankfurt have a visible home split

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.5% ●PossessionEintracht Frankfurt · FC Augsburg44.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEintracht FrankfurtFC AugsburgBaseline
Possession52.5%44.3%47.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots6 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 12 shots, FC Augsburg 6 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotEintracht Frankfurt 7 shots, FC Augsburg 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.85 xG0.45 xGEintracht Frankfurt 1.85 xG, FC Augsburg 0.45 xG
  • Possession62%38%Eintracht Frankfurt 62%, FC Augsburg 38%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersEintracht Frankfurt 6 corners, FC Augsburg 5 corners
  • Fouls2 fouls19 foulsEintracht Frankfurt 2 fouls, FC Augsburg 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Aurélio Buta · Eintracht Frankfurt · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 15′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAurélio Buta · Eintracht Frankfurt · 24′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMads Pedersen · FC Augsburg · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKristijan Jakić · FC Augsburg · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRobin Koch · Eintracht Frankfurt · 64′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAurélio Buta · Eintracht Frankfurt · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 61′ · 0.07 xG · goalEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 68′ · 0.07 xG · on targetOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 11′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 62′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPatric Pfeiffer · FC Augsburg · 84′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 20′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 13′ · 0.18 xG · goalFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 55′ · 0.30 xG · goalOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′ · 0.92 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Eintracht Frankfurt: 12 shots, 7 on target, 1.83 xG. FC Augsburg: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Farès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 55′Hugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 61′Omar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′Rubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 13′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.83 xG · FC Augsburg 0.45 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Eintracht Frankfurt
3Draws
1FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga2–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–1
FC Augsburg — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–2
FC Augsburg — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Eintracht Frankfurt30 matchesFC Augsburg30 matches
1.53 goals/matchGoals scored30/301.6 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.63 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals30/301.39 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 12.7 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target30/304.17 shots/match
52.5% ●Possession30/3044.3%
4.43 corners/matchCorners30/30● 4.7 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls30/3013.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 19 Apr 2024, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEintracht FrankfurtFC Augsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headEintracht Frankfurt — FC Augsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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