PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

VfL Bochum 1848 3–2 TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Bochum 1848 won 3–2.

Shots
3610
Shots on target
134
Expected goals
3.311.01
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Bochum 1848 beat TSG Hoffenheim 3–2. Recorded in this match (VfL Bochum 1848 – TSG Hoffenheim): shots 36–10, shots on target 13–4, expected goals 3.31–1.01, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Bochum 1848's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's last-five shots average is above their season average.

20.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots20.8 shots/match15.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfL Bochum 1848 have a visible home split

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.1 shots/match15.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

VfL Bochum 1848 show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsVfL Bochum 1848 · TSG Hoffenheim13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVfL Bochum 1848TSG HoffenheimBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match17.5 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots36 shots10 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 36 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 10 shots
  • Shots on target13 shots4 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 13 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 4 shots
  • Expected goals3.31 xG1.01 xGVfL Bochum 1848 3.31 xG, TSG Hoffenheim 1.01 xG
  • Possession45%55%VfL Bochum 1848 45%, TSG Hoffenheim 55%
  • Corners10 corners4 cornersVfL Bochum 1848 10 corners, TSG Hoffenheim 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsVfL Bochum 1848 13 fouls, TSG Hoffenheim 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Matúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 4′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 46′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Losilla · VfL Bochum 1848 · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKeven Schlotterbeck · VfL Bochum 1848 · 52′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarius Bülter · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Losilla · VfL Bochum 1848 · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFelix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 55′ · 0.03 xG · on targetWout Weghorst · TSG Hoffenheim · 63′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFelix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 79′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOzan Kabak · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Losilla · VfL Bochum 1848 · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 3′ · 0.05 xG · on targetUmut Tohumcu · TSG Hoffenheim · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKeven Schlotterbeck · VfL Bochum 1848 · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Losilla · VfL Bochum 1848 · 50′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBernardo · VfL Bochum 1848 · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDavid Jurásek · TSG Hoffenheim · 73′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKeven Schlotterbeck · VfL Bochum 1848 · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 84′ · 0.07 xG · goalPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 4′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 6′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 53′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 58′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKeven Schlotterbeck · VfL Bochum 1848 · 79′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGrischa Prömel · TSG Hoffenheim · 29′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 68′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedWout Weghorst · TSG Hoffenheim · 11′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 34′ · 0.13 xG · goalIvan Ordets · VfL Bochum 1848 · 85′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 32′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 64′ · 0.22 xG · goalMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 33′ · 0.23 xG · on targetMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 64′ · 0.23 xG · on targetFelix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 45′ · 0.30 xG · goalIvan Ordets · VfL Bochum 1848 · 5′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedTakuma Asano · VfL Bochum 1848 · 90′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 73′ · 0.49 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Bochum 1848: 36 shots, 12 on target, 3.35 xG. TSG Hoffenheim: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.03 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Kevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 34′Felix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 45′Kevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 64′Andrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 73′Andrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Bochum 1848 3.35 xG · TSG Hoffenheim 1.03 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Bochum 1848 favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · TSG Hoffenheim in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Bochum 184831 matchesTSG Hoffenheim31 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.77 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed31/312.03 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.54 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots31/3113.4 shots/match
4.55 shots/matchShots on target31/314.58 shots/match
46.3%Possession31/31● 49.2%
4.52 corners/match ●Corners31/314.39 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls31/3110.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 26 Apr 2024, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL Bochum 1848TSG Hoffenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required