PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

TSG Hoffenheim 4–3 Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga

4–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

TSG Hoffenheim won 4–3.

Shots
2813
Shots on target
97
Expected goals
2.351.03
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

TSG Hoffenheim beat Borussia M'gladbach 4–3. Recorded in this match (TSG Hoffenheim – Borussia M'gladbach): shots 28–13, shots on target 9–7, expected goals 2.35–1.03, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

TSG Hoffenheim have a visible home split

moderate

TSG Hoffenheim's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots28 shots13 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 28 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 13 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots7 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 9 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.35 xG1.03 xGTSG Hoffenheim 2.35 xG, Borussia M'gladbach 1.03 xG
  • Possession59%41%TSG Hoffenheim 59%, Borussia M'gladbach 41%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersTSG Hoffenheim 6 corners, Borussia M'gladbach 5 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls11 foulsTSG Hoffenheim 6 fouls, Borussia M'gladbach 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Andrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 21′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRobert Skov · TSG Hoffenheim · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Grillitsch · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuca Netz · Borussia M'gladbach · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 53′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGrischa Prömel · TSG Hoffenheim · 58′ · 0.02 xG · goalGrischa Prömel · TSG Hoffenheim · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPavel Kadeřábek · TSG Hoffenheim · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGrischa Prömel · TSG Hoffenheim · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulian Weigl · Borussia M'gladbach · 25′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 89′ · 0.03 xG · goalRobert Skov · TSG Hoffenheim · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobert Skov · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wöber · Borussia M'gladbach · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOzan Kabak · TSG Hoffenheim · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNico Elvedi · Borussia M'gladbach · 62′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRobert Skov · TSG Hoffenheim · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOzan Kabak · TSG Hoffenheim · 66′ · 0.05 xG · goalMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJohn Brooks · TSG Hoffenheim · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPavel Kadeřábek · TSG Hoffenheim · 18′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOzan Kabak · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 64′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 9′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 50′ · 0.10 xG · on targetPavel Kadeřábek · TSG Hoffenheim · 51′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedStefan Lainer · Borussia M'gladbach · 64′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 78′ · 0.12 xG · goalShio Fukuda · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 39′ · 0.13 xG · goalAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 60′ · 0.20 xG · on targetAnton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.22 xG · goalWout Weghorst · TSG Hoffenheim · 50′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedGrischa Prömel · TSG Hoffenheim · 22′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedWout Weghorst · TSG Hoffenheim · 36′ · 0.44 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

TSG Hoffenheim: 28 shots, 9 on target, 2.38 xG. Borussia M'gladbach: 13 shots, 7 on target, 1.03 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Wout Weghorst · TSG Hoffenheim · 36′Grischa Prömel · TSG Hoffenheim · 58′Ozan Kabak · TSG Hoffenheim · 66′Anton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′Robin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 39′Robin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 78′Robin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: TSG Hoffenheim 2.38 xG · Borussia M'gladbach 1.03 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0TSG Hoffenheim
1Draws
4Borussia M'gladbach
Borussia M'gladbach — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–1
TSG Hoffenheim — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–4
Borussia M'gladbach — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga3–1
Borussia M'gladbach — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga5–1
TSG Hoffenheim — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: TSG Hoffenheim favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia M'gladbach in 3 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

TSG Hoffenheim30 matchesBorussia M'gladbach30 matches
1.77 goals/matchGoals scored30/301.77 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed30/302 goals/match
1.56 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/301.43 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots30/3013.6 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target30/304.57 shots/match
49% ●Possession30/3047.1%
4.4 corners/matchCorners30/30● 5.43 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls30/3010.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Apr 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTSG HoffenheimBorussia M'gladbach
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headTSG Hoffenheim — Borussia M'gladbach
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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