PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–2 Holstein Kiel · Bundesliga

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Holstein Kiel drew 2–2.

Shots
238
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
2.081.65
Possession
74%26%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Holstein Kiel drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Bayer 04 Leverkusen – Holstein Kiel): shots 23–8, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 2.08–1.65, possession 74%–26%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.5 shots/match ▲ShotsBayer 04 Leverkusen · Holstein Kiel11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenHolstein KielBaseline
Shots19.5 shots/match11.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match19 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have a visible home split

weak

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

23 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season19.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots23 shots/match19.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.8% ●PossessionBayer 04 Leverkusen · Holstein Kiel43%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenHolstein KielBaseline
Possession60.8%43%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots8 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 23 shots, Holstein Kiel 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 7 shots, Holstein Kiel 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.08 xG1.65 xGBayer 04 Leverkusen 2.08 xG, Holstein Kiel 1.65 xG
  • Possession74%26%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 74%, Holstein Kiel 26%
  • Corners12 corners3 cornersBayer 04 Leverkusen 12 corners, Holstein Kiel 3 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls9 foulsBayer 04 Leverkusen 5 fouls, Holstein Kiel 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 20′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 64′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJonas Hofmann · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdmond Tapsoba · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGranit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 8′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJonathan Tah · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJonas Hofmann · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 17′ · 0.03 xG · on targetShuto Machino · Holstein Kiel · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFinn Porath · Holstein Kiel · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Tah · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLewis Holtby · Holstein Kiel · 22′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJonas Hofmann · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 6′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRobert Andrich · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 21′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 6′ · 0.11 xG · on targetVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 4′ · 0.14 xG · goalFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 9′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedBenedikt Pichler · Holstein Kiel · 73′ · 0.14 xG · on targetBenedikt Pichler · Holstein Kiel · 67′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMax Geschwill · Holstein Kiel · 45′ · 0.19 xG · goalMax Geschwill · Holstein Kiel · 74′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedJonas Hofmann · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 8′ · 0.20 xG · goalVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 58′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedMartin Terrier · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 79′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedPiero Hincapié · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 78′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedFiete Arp · Holstein Kiel · 69′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 23 shots, 7 on target, 2.14 xG. Holstein Kiel: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.66 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Victor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 4′Jonas Hofmann · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 8′Max Geschwill · Holstein Kiel · 45′Fiete Arp · Holstein Kiel · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.14 xG · Holstein Kiel 1.66 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Holstein Kiel in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen6 matchesHolstein Kiel6 matches
2.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.5 goals/match
2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/63.17 goals/match
2.1 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.32 xG/match
19.5 shots/match ▲Shots6/611.2 shots/match
7.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/64.17 shots/match
60.8% ●Possession6/643%
8.83 corners/match ●Corners6/63.5 corners/match
8.33 fouls/matchFouls6/612.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Oct 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBayer 04 LeverkusenHolstein Kiel
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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