PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Holstein Kiel 2–4 Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga

2–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Eintracht Frankfurt won 2–4.

Shots
1020
Shots on target
510
Expected goals
1.072.22
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Eintracht Frankfurt beat Holstein Kiel 4–2. Recorded in this match (Holstein Kiel – Eintracht Frankfurt): shots 10–20, shots on target 5–10, expected goals 1.07–2.22, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Eintracht Frankfurt show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHolstein Kiel · Eintracht Frankfurt15.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHolstein KielEintracht FrankfurtBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match15.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against18.2 shots/match16.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Holstein Kiel have a visible home split

weak

Holstein Kiel's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.33 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots20 shotsHolstein Kiel 10 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 20 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots10 shotsHolstein Kiel 5 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 10 shots
  • Expected goals1.07 xG2.22 xGHolstein Kiel 1.07 xG, Eintracht Frankfurt 2.22 xG
  • Possession47%53%Holstein Kiel 47%, Eintracht Frankfurt 53%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersHolstein Kiel 4 corners, Eintracht Frankfurt 9 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsHolstein Kiel 12 fouls, Eintracht Frankfurt 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Arthur Theate · Eintracht Frankfurt · 54′ · 0.01 xG · on targetShuto Machino · Holstein Kiel · 19′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTimo Becker · Holstein Kiel · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenedikt Pichler · Holstein Kiel · 23′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBenedikt Pichler · Holstein Kiel · 27′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIgor Matanović · Eintracht Frankfurt · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArmin Gigović · Holstein Kiel · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedShuto Machino · Holstein Kiel · 50′ · 0.03 xG · goalEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTimo Becker · Holstein Kiel · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLasse Rosenboom · Holstein Kiel · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArthur Theate · Eintracht Frankfurt · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHugo Larsson · Eintracht Frankfurt · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 25′ · 0.06 xG · goalNicolai Remberg · Holstein Kiel · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRobin Koch · Eintracht Frankfurt · 18′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIgor Matanović · Eintracht Frankfurt · 47′ · 0.07 xG · goalOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 47′ · 0.07 xG · on targetOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 16′ · 0.08 xG · on targetOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 65′ · 0.08 xG · goalOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 45′ · 0.09 xG · on targetOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 18′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIgor Matanović · Eintracht Frankfurt · 61′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedTuta · Eintracht Frankfurt · 74′ · 0.24 xG · goalFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 18′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedHugo Larsson · Eintracht Frankfurt · 60′ · 0.65 xG · on targetShuto Machino · Holstein Kiel · 30′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Holstein Kiel: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.11 xG. Eintracht Frankfurt: 20 shots, 10 on target, 2.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Shuto Machino · Holstein Kiel · 30′Shuto Machino · Holstein Kiel · 50′Omar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 25′Igor Matanović · Eintracht Frankfurt · 47′Omar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 65′Tuta · Eintracht Frankfurt · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Holstein Kiel 1.11 xG · Eintracht Frankfurt 2.39 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Holstein Kiel favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Eintracht Frankfurt in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Holstein Kiel5 matchesEintracht Frankfurt5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 2.2 goals/match
3.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 2.25 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 15.4 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 5.8 shots/match
46.4% ●Possession5/542%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/5● 5.8 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Sept 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHolstein KielEintracht Frankfurt
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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