Bundesliga · 2024

FC Bayern München 1–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München and Bayer 04 Leverkusen drew 1–1.

Shots
183
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.380.06
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München and Bayer 04 Leverkusen drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (FC Bayern München – Bayer 04 Leverkusen): shots 18–3, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.38–0.06, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.6 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Bayern München · Bayer 04 Leverkusen18.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Shots18.6 shots/match18.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against5.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.8 corners/matchCornersFC Bayern München · Bayer 04 Leverkusen● 8.2 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Corners5.8 corners/match8.2 corners/match5.1 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

69.4% ●PossessionFC Bayern München · Bayer 04 Leverkusen58.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Possession69.4%58.2%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots3 shotsFC Bayern München 18 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsFC Bayern München 3 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.38 xG0.06 xGFC Bayern München 1.38 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0.06 xG
  • Possession69%31%FC Bayern München 69%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 31%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerFC Bayern München 6 corners, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsFC Bayern München 11 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Victor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobert Andrich · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 31′ · 0.02 xG · goalAleksandar Pavlović · FC Bayern München · 39′ · 0.02 xG · goalJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 88′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKonrad Laimer · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 22′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 36′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 10′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 46′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDayot Upamecano · FC Bayern München · 8′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 48′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 57′ · 0.21 xG · on targetKim Min-jae · FC Bayern München · 78′ · 0.26 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Bayern München: 18 shots, 3 on target, 1.40 xG. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 3 shots, 2 on target, 0.06 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Aleksandar Pavlović · FC Bayern München · 39′Robert Andrich · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 31′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 1.40 xG · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0.06 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Bayern München
2Draws
2Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga3–0
FC Bayern München — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga2–1
FC Bayern München — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga4–0
FC Bayern München — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München5 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen5 matches
3.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/52.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
2.33 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/52.1 xG/match
18.6 shots/matchShots5/518.8 shots/match
6.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 7.4 shots/match
69.4% ●Possession5/558.2%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/5● 8.2 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Sept 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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