UEFA Champions League · 2024

Aston Villa 1–0 FC Bayern München · UEFA Champions League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Aston Villa won 1–0.

Shots
517
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
0.41.55
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Aston Villa beat FC Bayern München 1–0. Recorded in this match (Aston Villa – FC Bayern München): shots 5–17, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 0.4–1.55, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots17 shotsAston Villa 5 shots, FC Bayern München 17 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsAston Villa 2 shots, FC Bayern München 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.4 xG1.55 xGAston Villa 0.4 xG, FC Bayern München 1.55 xG
  • Possession30%70%Aston Villa 30%, FC Bayern München 70%
  • Corners1 corner11 cornersAston Villa 1 corner, FC Bayern München 11 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsAston Villa 8 fouls, FC Bayern München 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jhon Durán · Aston Villa · 79′ · 0.01 xG · goalJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 4′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 61′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIan Maatsen · Aston Villa · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoão Palhinha · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 39′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 37′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetEzri Konsa · Aston Villa · 48′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAmadou Onana · Aston Villa · 25′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 57′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 57′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 15′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedDayot Upamecano · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.55 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Aston Villa: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.41 xG. FC Bayern München: 17 shots, 7 on target, 1.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jhon Durán · Aston Villa · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Aston Villa 0.41 xG · FC Bayern München 1.52 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches
15.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115 days

Aston Villa / FC Bayern München

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 2 Oct 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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