PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Ipswich Town 2–2 Aston Villa · Premier League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ipswich Town and Aston Villa drew 2–2.

Shots
157
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.180.82
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ipswich Town and Aston Villa drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Ipswich Town – Aston Villa): shots 15–7, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.18–0.82, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ipswich Town show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.83 shots/match ▲ShotsIpswich Town · Aston Villa11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIpswich TownAston VillaBaseline
Shots8.83 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match10.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Ipswich Town have a visible home split

weak

Ipswich Town's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season8.83 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match8.83 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Ipswich Town's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ipswich Town's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.83 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots7 shotsIpswich Town 15 shots, Aston Villa 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsIpswich Town 5 shots, Aston Villa 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.18 xG0.82 xGIpswich Town 1.18 xG, Aston Villa 0.82 xG
  • Possession44%56%Ipswich Town 44%, Aston Villa 56%
  • Corners10 corners0 cornersIpswich Town 10 corners, Aston Villa 0 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls14 foulsIpswich Town 10 fouls, Aston Villa 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kalvin Phillips · Ipswich Town · 36′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSam Morsy · Ipswich Town · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOmari Hutchinson · Ipswich Town · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoss Barkley · Aston Villa · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYouri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeif Davis · Ipswich Town · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJack Taylor · Ipswich Town · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJacob Ramsey · Aston Villa · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSam Morsy · Ipswich Town · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAxel Tuanzebe · Ipswich Town · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAxel Tuanzebe · Ipswich Town · 77′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEmiliano Buendía · Aston Villa · 85′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Rogers · Aston Villa · 14′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 18′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLiam Delap · Ipswich Town · 8′ · 0.12 xG · goalMorgan Rogers · Aston Villa · 15′ · 0.14 xG · goalLiam Delap · Ipswich Town · 38′ · 0.16 xG · on targetWes Burns · Ipswich Town · 81′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedLiam Delap · Ipswich Town · 72′ · 0.28 xG · goalOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 32′ · 0.42 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Ipswich Town: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.19 xG. Aston Villa: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Liam Delap · Ipswich Town · 8′Liam Delap · Ipswich Town · 72′Morgan Rogers · Aston Villa · 15′Ollie Watkins · Aston Villa · 32′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Ipswich Town 1.19 xG · Aston Villa 0.84 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ipswich Town favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Aston Villa in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ipswich Town6 matchesAston Villa6 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 2 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.5 goals/match
0.74 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.59 xG/match
8.83 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 11.5 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4.33 shots/match
38.8%Possession6/6● 51.8%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners6/63.83 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls6/612.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Sept 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIpswich TownAston Villa
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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