Premier League · 2024Sun, 29 Sept 2024, 15:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Manchester United

WLLWD

0–3Full-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

DWLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Manchester United	Tottenham Hotspur
Shots	11 shots/match	24 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	10 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.96 xG/match	4.59 xG/match▲
Possession	39%	61%●
Corners	5 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Manchester United: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.95 xG. Tottenham Hotspur: 24 shots, 10 on target, 4.83 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester United 0.95 xG · Tottenham Hotspur 4.83 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.5 corners/matchCornersManchester United · Tottenham Hotspur●9.33 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Manchester United	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Corners	6.5 corners/match	9.33 corners/match	5.18 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Tottenham Hotspur show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match▲ShotsManchester United · Tottenham Hotspur18.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Manchester United	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Shots	13.2 shots/match	18.3 shots/match	12.8 shots/match
Shots against	12.3 shots/match	8.33 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Manchester United have a visible home split

weak

Manchester United's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11 shots/match	13.2 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Manchester United

2Draws

1Tottenham Hotspur

14 Jan 2024Manchester United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–2

19 Aug 2023Tottenham Hotspur — Manchester United · Premier League2–0

27 Apr 2023Tottenham Hotspur — Manchester United · Premier League2–2

19 Oct 2022Manchester United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–0

12 Mar 2022Manchester United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Manchester United favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 9 · 2 too close

0.83 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/6▲2 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/6▲0.83 goals/match

1.76 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/6▲2.28 xG/match

1.84 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/6▲1.06 xG/match

13.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/6▲18.3 shots/match

12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/6▲8.33 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲7.5 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/6▲3.17 shots/match

53.7%Possessionseason · 6/6●63.3%

6.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/6●9.33 corners/match

3.5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/64.83 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/612.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

50%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/633%

50%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/6▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Manchester United67.5

Tottenham Hotspur92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Manchester United43.3

Tottenham Hotspur90

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Manchester United53.3

Tottenham Hotspur87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Manchester United37.5

Tottenham Hotspur62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Manchester United52.5

Tottenham Hotspur52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Manchester United77.5

Tottenham Hotspur97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Manchester United61.9

Tottenham Hotspur85

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Manchester United6 matchesTottenham Hotspur6 matches

0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲2 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲0.83 goals/match

1.76 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲2.28 xG/match

13.2 shots/matchShots6/6▲18.3 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲7.5 shots/match

53.7%Possession6/6●63.3%

6.5 corners/matchCorners6/6●9.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls6/612.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Manchester United3 matchesTottenham Hotspur3 matches

0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲1.67 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1 goals/match

1.58 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲2.34 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots3/3▲19.7 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲7.67 shots/match

49%Possession3/3●65.7%

5.67 corners/matchCorners3/3●9.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls3/313 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.06 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Sept 2024, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4