PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Wolverhampton 1–2 Liverpool · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Liverpool won 1–2.

Shots
810
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.632.54
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Liverpool beat Wolverhampton 2–1. Recorded in this match (Wolverhampton – Liverpool): shots 8–10, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.63–2.54, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wolverhampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Wolverhampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsWolverhampton · Liverpool15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWolverhamptonLiverpoolBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match15.2 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match9.17 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Wolverhampton's recent record differs from the season

weak

Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share.

46%PossessionWolverhampton · Liverpool● 59%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricWolverhamptonLiverpoolBaseline
Possession46%59%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots10 shotsWolverhampton 8 shots, Liverpool 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsWolverhampton 3 shots, Liverpool 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.63 xG2.54 xGWolverhampton 0.63 xG, Liverpool 2.54 xG
  • Possession45%55%Wolverhampton 45%, Liverpool 55%
  • Corners2 corners10 cornersWolverhampton 2 corners, Liverpool 10 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls8 foulsWolverhampton 16 fouls, Liverpool 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNélson Semedo · Wolverhampton · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 22′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJean-Ricner Bellegarde · Wolverhampton · 5′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJørgen Strand Larsen · Wolverhampton · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 65′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIbrahima Konaté · Liverpool · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 32′ · 0.07 xG · on targetCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 78′ · 0.09 xG · on targetIbrahima Konaté · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.11 xG · goalCarlos Forbs · Wolverhampton · 72′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 26′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 56′ · 0.36 xG · goalMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 50′ · 0.51 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 40′ · 0.72 xG · on targetMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 61′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Wolverhampton: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.62 xG. Liverpool: 10 shots, 6 on target, 2.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Rayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 56′Ibrahima Konaté · Liverpool · 45′Mohamed Salah · Liverpool · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wolverhampton 0.62 xG · Liverpool 2.56 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Wolverhampton
0Draws
4Liverpool
Liverpool — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–0
Wolverhampton — Liverpool · Premier League1–3
Liverpool — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–0
Wolverhampton — Liverpool · Premier League3–0
Liverpool — Wolverhampton · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wolverhampton favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Liverpool in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wolverhampton6 matchesLiverpool6 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 2 goals/match
2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.33 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 2.11 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 15.2 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 6.67 shots/match
46%Possession6/6● 59%
3.5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 6.83 corners/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls6/611.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Sept 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWolverhamptonLiverpool
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headWolverhampton — Liverpool
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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