PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Brentford 5–3 Wolverhampton · Premier League

5–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Brentford won 5–3.

Shots
1917
Shots on target
126
Expected goals
4.251.05
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brentford beat Wolverhampton 5–3. Recorded in this match (Brentford – Wolverhampton): shots 19–17, shots on target 12–6, expected goals 4.25–1.05, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brentford have a visible home split

weak

Brentford's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Brentford's recent record differs from the season

weak

Brentford's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.86 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wolverhampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Wolverhampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsBrentford · Wolverhampton11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrentfordWolverhamptonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against18.3 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots17 shotsBrentford 19 shots, Wolverhampton 17 shots
  • Shots on target12 shots6 shotsBrentford 12 shots, Wolverhampton 6 shots
  • Expected goals4.25 xG1.05 xGBrentford 4.25 xG, Wolverhampton 1.05 xG
  • Possession44%56%Brentford 44%, Wolverhampton 56%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersBrentford 10 corners, Wolverhampton 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsBrentford 9 fouls, Wolverhampton 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

André · Wolverhampton · 22′ · 0.01 xG · on targetToti Gomes · Wolverhampton · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVitaly Janelt · Brentford · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoão Gomes · Wolverhampton · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNélson Semedo · Wolverhampton · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEthan Pinnock · Brentford · 45′ · 0.03 xG · goalChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 54′ · 0.03 xG · on targetChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Guedes · Wolverhampton · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSepp van den Berg · Brentford · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCraig Dawson · Wolverhampton · 88′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.06 xG · goalEthan Pinnock · Brentford · 31′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVitaly Janelt · Brentford · 54′ · 0.08 xG · on targetEthan Pinnock · Brentford · 65′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSepp van den Berg · Brentford · 75′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedYunus Konak · Brentford · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Wolverhampton · 26′ · 0.17 xG · goalNathan Collins · Brentford · 65′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedKevin Schade · Brentford · 30′ · 0.21 xG · on targetKeane Lewis-Potter · Brentford · 3′ · 0.26 xG · on targetMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 4′ · 0.28 xG · goalChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 28′ · 0.30 xG · goalKevin Schade · Brentford · 74′ · 0.31 xG · on targetNathan Collins · Brentford · 2′ · 0.51 xG · goalBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 20′ · 0.82 xG · goalFabio Carvalho · Brentford · 90′ · 0.93 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brentford: 19 shots, 12 on target, 4.29 xG. Wolverhampton: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Nathan Collins · Brentford · 2′Bryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 20′Christian Nørgaard · Brentford · 28′Ethan Pinnock · Brentford · 45′Fabio Carvalho · Brentford · 90′Matheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 4′Jørgen Strand Larsen · Wolverhampton · 26′Rayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brentford 4.29 xG · Wolverhampton 1.04 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Brentford
1Draws
3Wolverhampton
Wolverhampton — Brentford · Premier League0–2
Brentford — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–4
Wolverhampton — Brentford · Premier League2–0
Brentford — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–1
Brentford — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brentford favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Wolverhampton in 1 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brentford7 matchesWolverhampton7 matches
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.29 goals/match
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/73 goals/match
1.61 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.94 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots7/711.3 shots/match
5.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/74 shots/match
45.7%Possession7/7● 47.4%
4.86 corners/match ●Corners7/73.43 corners/match
6.57 fouls/matchFouls7/714.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Oct 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBrentfordWolverhampton
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headBrentford — Wolverhampton
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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