PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Eintracht Frankfurt 3–3 FC Bayern München · Bundesliga

3–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Bayern München drew 3–3.

Shots
624
Shots on target
413
Expected goals
1.212.18
Possession
26%74%

Full time

What the match recorded

Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Bayern München drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Eintracht Frankfurt – FC Bayern München): shots 6–24, shots on target 4–13, expected goals 1.21–2.18, possession 26%–74%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsEintracht Frankfurt · FC Bayern München19.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEintracht FrankfurtFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match19.5 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against18 shots/match5.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.3%PossessionEintracht Frankfurt · FC Bayern München● 70.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 30.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEintracht FrankfurtFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Possession39.3%70.2%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

weak

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match2.33 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots24 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 6 shots, FC Bayern München 24 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots13 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 4 shots, FC Bayern München 13 shots
  • Expected goals1.21 xG2.18 xGEintracht Frankfurt 1.21 xG, FC Bayern München 2.18 xG
  • Possession26%74%Eintracht Frankfurt 26%, FC Bayern München 74%
  • Corners0 corners11 cornersEintracht Frankfurt 0 corners, FC Bayern München 11 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls6 foulsEintracht Frankfurt 10 fouls, FC Bayern München 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 14′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 33′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAleksandar Pavlović · FC Bayern München · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 62′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAleksandar Pavlović · FC Bayern München · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 56′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoão Palhinha · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 38′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJoão Palhinha · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 18′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 53′ · 0.10 xG · goalHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 35′ · 0.12 xG · goalMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 2′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedKim Min-jae · FC Bayern München · 15′ · 0.14 xG · goalOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 22′ · 0.17 xG · goalThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 10′ · 0.20 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 63′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedDayot Upamecano · FC Bayern München · 38′ · 0.24 xG · goalOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′ · 0.38 xG · goalThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 30′ · 0.42 xG · on targetEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 84′ · 0.50 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Eintracht Frankfurt: 6 shots, 4 on target, 1.19 xG. FC Bayern München: 24 shots, 13 on target, 2.24 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Omar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 22′Hugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 35′Omar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′Kim Min-jae · FC Bayern München · 15′Dayot Upamecano · FC Bayern München · 38′Michael Olise · FC Bayern München · 53′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.19 xG · FC Bayern München 2.24 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Eintracht Frankfurt
1Draws
3FC Bayern München
FC Bayern München — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga2–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga5–1
FC Bayern München — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–6
Eintracht Frankfurt — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Eintracht Frankfurt6 matchesFC Bayern München6 matches
2.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 3.33 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.17 goals/match
2.08 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 2.31 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 19.5 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 7.67 shots/match
39.3%Possession6/6● 70.2%
4.83 corners/matchCorners6/6● 6.67 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls6/610.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Oct 2024, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEintracht FrankfurtFC Bayern München
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headEintracht Frankfurt — FC Bayern München
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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