Bundesliga · 2024

VfB Stuttgart 1–1 TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfB Stuttgart and TSG Hoffenheim drew 1–1.

Shots
207
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
2.050.89
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfB Stuttgart and TSG Hoffenheim drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (VfB Stuttgart – TSG Hoffenheim): shots 20–7, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 2.05–0.89, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfB Stuttgart show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.3 shots/match ▲ShotsVfB Stuttgart · TSG Hoffenheim11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVfB StuttgartTSG HoffenheimBaseline
Shots17.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match18.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

TSG Hoffenheim have a visible away split

weak

TSG Hoffenheim's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.33 shots/match11.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

VfB Stuttgart have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.8% ●PossessionVfB Stuttgart · TSG Hoffenheim43.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVfB StuttgartTSG HoffenheimBaseline
Possession62.8%43.7%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots7 shotsVfB Stuttgart 20 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsVfB Stuttgart 6 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.05 xG0.89 xGVfB Stuttgart 2.05 xG, TSG Hoffenheim 0.89 xG
  • Possession68%32%VfB Stuttgart 68%, TSG Hoffenheim 32%
  • Corners10 corners5 cornersVfB Stuttgart 10 corners, TSG Hoffenheim 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls7 foulsVfB Stuttgart 10 fouls, TSG Hoffenheim 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

El Bilal Touré · VfB Stuttgart · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarius Bülter · TSG Hoffenheim · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 63′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMaximilian Mittelstädt · VfB Stuttgart · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEl Bilal Touré · VfB Stuttgart · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 47′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEl Bilal Touré · VfB Stuttgart · 61′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAnrie Chase · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Mittelstädt · VfB Stuttgart · 33′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMax Moerstedt · TSG Hoffenheim · 76′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAnrie Chase · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Mittelstädt · VfB Stuttgart · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdam Hložek · TSG Hoffenheim · 21′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNick Woltemade · VfB Stuttgart · 74′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAdam Hložek · TSG Hoffenheim · 24′ · 0.09 xG · on targetErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 89′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 40′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 83′ · 0.14 xG · on targetDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAtakan Karazor · VfB Stuttgart · 8′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedValentin Gendrey · TSG Hoffenheim · 44′ · 0.32 xG · goalAdam Hložek · TSG Hoffenheim · 4′ · 0.33 xG · on targetErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.76 xG · goalErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfB Stuttgart: 20 shots, 6 on target, 2.70 xG. TSG Hoffenheim: 7 shots, 5 on target, 0.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Ermedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 90′Valentin Gendrey · TSG Hoffenheim · 44′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfB Stuttgart 2.70 xG · TSG Hoffenheim 0.87 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1VfB Stuttgart
2Draws
2TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga0–3
VfB Stuttgart — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–3
VfB Stuttgart — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga1–1
TSG Hoffenheim — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–2
TSG Hoffenheim — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfB Stuttgart favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · TSG Hoffenheim in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfB Stuttgart6 matchesTSG Hoffenheim6 matches
2.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.67 goals/match
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62.67 goals/match
2.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.32 xG/match
17.3 shots/match ▲Shots6/611.8 shots/match
6.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/64.83 shots/match
62.8% ●Possession6/643.7%
5.83 corners/match ●Corners6/64.67 corners/match
9.67 fouls/matchFouls6/610.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Oct 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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