Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat Milan 1–0. Recorded in this match (Bayer 04 Leverkusen – Milan): shots 16–16, shots on target 9–5, expected goals 1.82–1, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics
Bayer 04 LeverkusenMilan
Shots16 shots16 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 16 shots, Milan 16 shots
Shots on target9 shots5 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 9 shots, Milan 5 shots
Possession50%50%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 50%, Milan 50%
Corners5 corners4 cornersBayer 04 Leverkusen 5 corners, Milan 4 corners
Fouls15 fouls4 foulsBayer 04 Leverkusen 15 fouls, Milan 4 fouls
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
Milan← attackingattacking →Bayer 04 Leverkusen
off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 16 shots, 9 on target, 1.99 xG. Milan: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.00 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen1.99 xGMilan1.00 xG
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.99 xG · Milan 1.00 xG.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
▲ led this metric● higher value (descriptive) too close
Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
12.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
Bayer 04 Leverkusen / Milan
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 1 Oct 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4