PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Heidenheim won 0–2.

Shots
714
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.571.19
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Heidenheim beat 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0. Recorded in this match (1. FSV Mainz 05 – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 7–14, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.57–1.19, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FSV Mainz 05 have a visible home split

weak

1. FSV Mainz 05's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match10.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

1. FC Heidenheim show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

1. FC Heidenheim's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match ▲Shots1. FSV Mainz 05 · 1. FC Heidenheim10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FSV Mainz 051. FC HeidenheimBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against20 shots/match12.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots14 shots1. FSV Mainz 05 7 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shots1. FSV Mainz 05 2 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.57 xG1.19 xG1. FSV Mainz 05 0.57 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 1.19 xG
  • Possession50%50%1. FSV Mainz 05 50%, 1. FC Heidenheim 50%
  • Corners7 corners6 corners1. FSV Mainz 05 7 corners, 1. FC Heidenheim 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 fouls1. FSV Mainz 05 10 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jae-sung Lee · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJae-sung Lee · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarnon Busch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPhillipp Mwene · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 7′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 8′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Caci · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 49′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJonas Föhrenbach · 1. FC Heidenheim · 67′ · 0.05 xG · on targetStefan Bell · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBenedikt Gimber · 1. FC Heidenheim · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuca Kerber · 1. FC Heidenheim · 85′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 86′ · 0.10 xG · goalPaul Wanner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 67′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 15′ · 0.12 xG · goalMaximilian Breunig · 1. FC Heidenheim · 65′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Burkardt · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 38′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedStefan Bell · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 90′ · 0.23 xG · on targetMaximilian Breunig · 1. FC Heidenheim · 72′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FSV Mainz 05: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.59 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.23 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Marvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 15′Jan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.59 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 1.23 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

01. FSV Mainz 05
1Draws
11. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05 — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FSV Mainz 05 favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FSV Mainz 055 matches1. FC Heidenheim5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.57 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots5/510.4 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 4.4 shots/match
45% ●Possession5/541.2%
5.6 corners/match ●Corners5/53.4 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Sept 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FSV Mainz 051. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-head1. FSV Mainz 05 — 1. FC Heidenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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