PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Wolfsburg and VfB Stuttgart drew 2–2.

Shots
518
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.11.85
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Wolfsburg and VfB Stuttgart drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (VfL Wolfsburg – VfB Stuttgart): shots 5–18, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.1–1.85, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

VfB Stuttgart have recorded the higher season possession share.

37.2%PossessionVfL Wolfsburg · VfB Stuttgart● 61.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 24.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVfL WolfsburgVfB StuttgartBaseline
Possession37.2%61.8%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

VfB Stuttgart show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsVfL Wolfsburg · VfB Stuttgart16.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVfL WolfsburgVfB StuttgartBaseline
Shots11 shots/match16.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match10.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

VfB Stuttgart have a visible away split

weak

VfB Stuttgart's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match16.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots18 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 5 shots, VfB Stuttgart 18 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 2 shots, VfB Stuttgart 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.1 xG1.85 xGVfL Wolfsburg 1.1 xG, VfB Stuttgart 1.85 xG
  • Possession30%70%VfL Wolfsburg 30%, VfB Stuttgart 70%
  • Corners1 corner3 cornersVfL Wolfsburg 1 corner, VfB Stuttgart 3 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls10 foulsVfL Wolfsburg 20 fouls, VfB Stuttgart 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Maximilian Mittelstädt · VfB Stuttgart · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJeff Chabot · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKilian Fischer · VfL Wolfsburg · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Mittelstädt · VfB Stuttgart · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEl Bilal Touré · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKilian Fischer · VfL Wolfsburg · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFabian Rieder · VfB Stuttgart · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJeff Chabot · VfB Stuttgart · 52′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.13 xG · goalMaximilian Mittelstädt · VfB Stuttgart · 39′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 4′ · 0.19 xG · on targetRidle Baku · VfL Wolfsburg · 81′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 68′ · 0.33 xG · goalJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 20′ · 0.35 xG · goalEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 32′ · 0.40 xG · goalEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 32′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Wolfsburg: 5 shots, 2 on target, 1.08 xG. VfB Stuttgart: 18 shots, 4 on target, 2.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 20′Mohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 68′Enzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 32′Deniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Wolfsburg 1.08 xG · VfB Stuttgart 2.21 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2VfL Wolfsburg
1Draws
2VfB Stuttgart
VfL Wolfsburg — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–3
VfB Stuttgart — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga3–1
VfB Stuttgart — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga0–1
VfL Wolfsburg — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga3–2
VfB Stuttgart — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Wolfsburg favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Wolfsburg5 matchesVfB Stuttgart5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 2.8 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 2 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 2.33 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 16.8 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 6.8 shots/match
37.2%Possession5/5● 61.8%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/5● 5 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Sept 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL WolfsburgVfB Stuttgart
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headVfL Wolfsburg — VfB Stuttgart
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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