PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

VfL Bochum 1848 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Wolfsburg won 1–3.

Shots
1817
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.752.47
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Wolfsburg beat VfL Bochum 1848 3–1. Recorded in this match (VfL Bochum 1848 – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 18–17, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.75–2.47, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Bochum 1848's recent record differs from the season

weak

VfL Bochum 1848's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.7 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfL Bochum 1848 have a visible home split

weak

VfL Bochum 1848's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.3 fouls/matchFoulsVfL Bochum 1848 · VfL Wolfsburg13.2 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricVfL Bochum 1848VfL WolfsburgBaseline
Fouls13.3 fouls/match13.2 fouls/match11.4 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots17 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 18 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 5 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.75 xG2.47 xGVfL Bochum 1848 1.75 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 2.47 xG
  • Possession58%42%VfL Bochum 1848 58%, VfL Wolfsburg 42%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersVfL Bochum 1848 7 corners, VfL Wolfsburg 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsVfL Bochum 1848 11 fouls, VfL Wolfsburg 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Maximilian Arnold · VfL Wolfsburg · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFelix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRidle Baku · VfL Wolfsburg · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDani De Wit · VfL Bochum 1848 · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSebastiaan Bornauw · VfL Wolfsburg · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLukas Daschner · VfL Bochum 1848 · 67′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJakub Kamiński · VfL Wolfsburg · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIvan Ordets · VfL Bochum 1848 · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Sissoko · VfL Bochum 1848 · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKoji Miyoshi · VfL Bochum 1848 · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJakub Kamiński · VfL Wolfsburg · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJakub Kamiński · VfL Wolfsburg · 35′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 80′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 65′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMyron Boadu · VfL Bochum 1848 · 18′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 80′ · 0.14 xG · on targetTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 35′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 21′ · 0.17 xG · goalMyron Boadu · VfL Bochum 1848 · 66′ · 0.23 xG · on targetDani De Wit · VfL Bochum 1848 · 28′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 53′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedMyron Boadu · VfL Bochum 1848 · 14′ · 0.27 xG · on targetJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 37′ · 0.29 xG · goalMyron Boadu · VfL Bochum 1848 · 72′ · 0.40 xG · goalJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 88′ · 0.80 xG · goalJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 88′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Bochum 1848: 18 shots, 5 on target, 1.75 xG. VfL Wolfsburg: 17 shots, 5 on target, 3.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Myron Boadu · VfL Bochum 1848 · 72′Tiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 21′Jonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 37′Jonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Bochum 1848 1.75 xG · VfL Wolfsburg 3.14 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Bochum 1848 favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Bochum 18486 matchesVfL Wolfsburg6 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 2.17 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 2 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.5 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots6/612 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63.67 shots/match
43% ●Possession6/638%
3.5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 3.67 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls6/613.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Oct 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL Bochum 1848VfL Wolfsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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