PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

SV Werder Bremen 0–1 SC Freiburg · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Freiburg won 0–1.

Shots
1215
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.011.04
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Freiburg beat SV Werder Bremen 1–0. Recorded in this match (SV Werder Bremen – SC Freiburg): shots 12–15, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.01–1.04, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV Werder Bremen have a visible home split

weak

SV Werder Bremen's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

5.67 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots5.67 shots/match10.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

SC Freiburg's recent record differs from the season

weak

SC Freiburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.7 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SV Werder Bremen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SV Werder Bremen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsSV Werder Bremen · SC Freiburg15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSV Werder BremenSC FreiburgBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match15 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match10.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots15 shotsSV Werder Bremen 12 shots, SC Freiburg 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsSV Werder Bremen 3 shots, SC Freiburg 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.01 xG1.04 xGSV Werder Bremen 1.01 xG, SC Freiburg 1.04 xG
  • Possession58%42%SV Werder Bremen 58%, SC Freiburg 42%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersSV Werder Bremen 7 corners, SC Freiburg 5 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls9 foulsSV Werder Bremen 7 fouls, SC Freiburg 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Eren Dinkçi · SC Freiburg · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJunior Adamu · SC Freiburg · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 29′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 75′ · 0.04 xG · goalMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 53′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 3′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJunior Adamu · SC Freiburg · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 56′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOliver Burke · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 89′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 33′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedFelix Agu · SV Werder Bremen · 17′ · 0.35 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SV Werder Bremen: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.98 xG. SC Freiburg: 15 shots, 3 on target, 1.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ritsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SV Werder Bremen 0.98 xG · SC Freiburg 1.05 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SV Werder Bremen
0Draws
3SC Freiburg
SV Werder Bremen — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga3–1
SC Freiburg — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga1–0
SV Werder Bremen — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga1–2
SC Freiburg — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · SC Freiburg in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen6 matchesSC Freiburg6 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.5 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.78 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 15 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4.67 shots/match
49.2% ●Possession6/648.8%
4.17 corners/matchCorners6/6● 5.5 corners/match
9.67 fouls/matchFouls6/67.83 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Oct 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder BremenSC Freiburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — SC Freiburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required