PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

SC Freiburg 0–3 FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC St. Pauli won 0–3.

Shots
910
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.161.11
Possession
73%27%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC St. Pauli beat SC Freiburg 3–0. Recorded in this match (SC Freiburg – FC St. Pauli): shots 9–10, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.16–1.11, possession 73%–27%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC St. Pauli show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC St. Pauli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Freiburg · FC St. Pauli11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC FreiburgFC St. PauliBaseline
Shots15 shots/match11.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match10.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FC St. Pauli have a visible away split

weak

FC St. Pauli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.67 shots/match11.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shotsSC Freiburg 9 shots, FC St. Pauli 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsSC Freiburg 2 shots, FC St. Pauli 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.16 xG1.11 xGSC Freiburg 1.16 xG, FC St. Pauli 1.11 xG
  • Possession73%27%SC Freiburg 73%, FC St. Pauli 27%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersSC Freiburg 4 corners, FC St. Pauli 2 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls18 foulsSC Freiburg 7 fouls, FC St. Pauli 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Johannes Eggestein · FC St. Pauli · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Treu · FC St. Pauli · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOladapo Afolayan · FC St. Pauli · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Osterhage · SC Freiburg · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNoah Weißhaupt · SC Freiburg · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEric Smith · FC St. Pauli · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEric Smith · FC St. Pauli · 60′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPhilipp Lienhart · SC Freiburg · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 16′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJunior Adamu · SC Freiburg · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedElias Saad · FC St. Pauli · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Osterhage · SC Freiburg · 48′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCarlo Boukhalfa · FC St. Pauli · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedElias Saad · FC St. Pauli · 72′ · 0.19 xG · goalOladapo Afolayan · FC St. Pauli · 45′ · 0.26 xG · goalElias Saad · FC St. Pauli · 12′ · 0.27 xG · goalVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 41′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Freiburg: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.19 xG. FC St. Pauli: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Elias Saad · FC St. Pauli · 12′Oladapo Afolayan · FC St. Pauli · 45′Elias Saad · FC St. Pauli · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Freiburg 1.19 xG · FC St. Pauli 1.14 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Freiburg favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · FC St. Pauli in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Freiburg5 matchesFC St. Pauli5 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.95 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots5/511.4 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
50.2% ●Possession5/547.2%
5.6 corners/match ●Corners5/54 corners/match
7.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Sept 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC FreiburgFC St. Pauli
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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