PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Union Berlin won 2–1.

Shots
148
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.480.74
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Union Berlin beat Borussia Dortmund 2–1. Recorded in this match (1. FC Union Berlin – Borussia Dortmund): shots 14–8, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.48–0.74, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible away split

weak

Borussia Dortmund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Borussia Dortmund have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.7%Possession1. FC Union Berlin · Borussia Dortmund● 60.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC Union BerlinBorussia DortmundBaseline
Possession39.7%60.8%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

1. FC Union Berlin show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

1. FC Union Berlin's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲Shots1. FC Union Berlin · Borussia Dortmund13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FC Union BerlinBorussia DortmundBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match10.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots8 shots1. FC Union Berlin 14 shots, Borussia Dortmund 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shots1. FC Union Berlin 5 shots, Borussia Dortmund 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.48 xG0.74 xG1. FC Union Berlin 1.48 xG, Borussia Dortmund 0.74 xG
  • Possession33%67%1. FC Union Berlin 33%, Borussia Dortmund 67%
  • Corners3 corners3 corners1. FC Union Berlin 3 corners, Borussia Dortmund 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls17 fouls1. FC Union Berlin 15 fouls, Borussia Dortmund 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Emre Can · Borussia Dortmund · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWoo-Yeong Jeong · 1. FC Union Berlin · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTom Alexander Rothe · 1. FC Union Berlin · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 45′ · 0.02 xG · goalYan Couto · Borussia Dortmund · 19′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAljoscha Kemlein · 1. FC Union Berlin · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Leite · 1. FC Union Berlin · 43′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 53′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTim Skarke · 1. FC Union Berlin · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDanilho Doekhi · 1. FC Union Berlin · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJulian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 62′ · 0.06 xG · goalJulian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 73′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 20′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedWoo-Yeong Jeong · 1. FC Union Berlin · 40′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · 1. FC Union Berlin · 73′ · 0.12 xG · on targetBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 10′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 37′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 55′ · 0.33 xG · on targetKevin Vogt · 1. FC Union Berlin · 26′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Union Berlin: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.49 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Kevin Vogt · 1. FC Union Berlin · 26′Yorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 45′Julian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Union Berlin 1.49 xG · Borussia Dortmund 0.75 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

11. FC Union Berlin
0Draws
4Borussia Dortmund
1. FC Union Berlin — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–2
Borussia Dortmund — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga4–2
Borussia Dortmund — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–1
1. FC Union Berlin — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga2–0
1. FC Union Berlin — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin6 matchesBorussia Dortmund6 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 2 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.62 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 13.3 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5 shots/match
39.7%Possession6/6● 60.8%
5.17 corners/matchCorners6/6● 6.5 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls6/611.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Oct 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union BerlinBorussia Dortmund
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-head1. FC Union Berlin — Borussia Dortmund
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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