Borussia Dortmund beat Celtic 7–1. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – Celtic): shots 16–9, shots on target 13–2, expected goals 2.6–2.13, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
Celtic← attackingattacking →Borussia Dortmund
off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG
Borussia Dortmund: 16 shots, 13 on target, 2.68 xG. Celtic: 9 shots, 2 on target, 2.13 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
Borussia Dortmund2.68 xGCeltic2.13 xG
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 2.68 xG · Celtic 2.13 xG.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
▲ led this metric● higher value (descriptive) too close
Rest before fixture · Both teams: 13 days
Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
Borussia Dortmund / Celtic
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 1 Oct 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4