PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

VfL Wolfsburg 5–1 Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga

5–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Wolfsburg won 5–1.

Shots
169
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
3.891.11
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Wolfsburg beat Borussia M'gladbach 5–1. Recorded in this match (VfL Wolfsburg – Borussia M'gladbach): shots 16–9, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 3.89–1.11, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia M'gladbach's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia M'gladbach's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for VfL Wolfsburg, Borussia M'gladbach.

3.21 days ▲Rest daysVfL Wolfsburg · Borussia M'gladbach3.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricVfL WolfsburgBorussia M'gladbachBaseline
Rest days3.21 days3.08 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots9 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 16 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 5 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 5 shots
  • Expected goals3.89 xG1.11 xGVfL Wolfsburg 3.89 xG, Borussia M'gladbach 1.11 xG
  • Possession35%65%VfL Wolfsburg 35%, Borussia M'gladbach 65%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersVfL Wolfsburg 4 corners, Borussia M'gladbach 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls7 foulsVfL Wolfsburg 10 fouls, Borussia M'gladbach 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · Borussia M'gladbach · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 25′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMaximilian Arnold · VfL Wolfsburg · 75′ · 0.03 xG · goalKevin Stöger · Borussia M'gladbach · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Arnold · VfL Wolfsburg · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 20′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJoakim Mæhle · VfL Wolfsburg · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYannick Gerhardt · VfL Wolfsburg · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 7′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 49′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 51′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 15′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedBence Dárdai · VfL Wolfsburg · 31′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedYannick Gerhardt · VfL Wolfsburg · 51′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 34′ · 0.24 xG · on targetTomáš Čvančara · Borussia M'gladbach · 12′ · 0.26 xG · on targetShio Fukuda · Borussia M'gladbach · 89′ · 0.33 xG · goalJoakim Mæhle · VfL Wolfsburg · 60′ · 0.49 xG · goalJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 3′ · 0.82 xG · goalLukas Nmecha · VfL Wolfsburg · 87′ · 0.87 xG · goalLukas Nmecha · VfL Wolfsburg · 84′ · 0.91 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Wolfsburg: 16 shots, 5 on target, 3.85 xG. Borussia M'gladbach: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Jonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 3′Joakim Mæhle · VfL Wolfsburg · 60′Maximilian Arnold · VfL Wolfsburg · 75′Lukas Nmecha · VfL Wolfsburg · 84′Lukas Nmecha · VfL Wolfsburg · 87′Shio Fukuda · Borussia M'gladbach · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Wolfsburg 3.85 xG · Borussia M'gladbach 1.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0VfL Wolfsburg
2Draws
3Borussia M'gladbach
VfL Wolfsburg — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–3
Borussia M'gladbach — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga4–0
Borussia M'gladbach — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga2–0
VfL Wolfsburg — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga2–2
Borussia M'gladbach — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Wolfsburg favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia M'gladbach in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Wolfsburg17 matchesBorussia M'gladbach17 matches
2.24 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/171.53 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.53 goals/match
1.57 xG/matchExpected goals17/171.56 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots17/1713.1 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 5 shots/match
43.4%Possession17/17● 51.2%
5.12 corners/match ●Corners17/174.88 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 14 Jan 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL WolfsburgBorussia M'gladbach
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headVfL Wolfsburg — Borussia M'gladbach
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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