PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Borussia M'gladbach 0–1 FC Bayern München · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 0–1.

Shots
523
Shots on target
010
Expected goals
0.354.28
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat Borussia M'gladbach 1–0. Recorded in this match (Borussia M'gladbach – FC Bayern München): shots 5–23, shots on target 0–10, expected goals 0.35–4.28, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia M'gladbach · FC Bayern München19.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia M'gladbachFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match19.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against16.5 shots/match5.13 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Borussia M'gladbach's recent record differs from the season

weak

Borussia M'gladbach's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.3%PossessionBorussia M'gladbach · FC Bayern München● 71.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBorussia M'gladbachFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Possession50.3%71.8%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots23 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 5 shots, FC Bayern München 23 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots10 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 0 shots, FC Bayern München 10 shots
  • Expected goals0.35 xG4.28 xGBorussia M'gladbach 0.35 xG, FC Bayern München 4.28 xG
  • Possession33%67%Borussia M'gladbach 33%, FC Bayern München 67%
  • Corners4 corners10 cornersBorussia M'gladbach 4 corners, FC Bayern München 10 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls7 foulsBorussia M'gladbach 10 fouls, FC Bayern München 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · Borussia M'gladbach · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 64′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 52′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEric Dier · FC Bayern München · 8′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNico Elvedi · Borussia M'gladbach · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 37′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 11′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAlphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 88′ · 0.17 xG · on targetThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 15′ · 0.18 xG · on targetTim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 49′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 19′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 71′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 84′ · 0.41 xG · on targetKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 88′ · 0.49 xG · on targetSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.51 xG · on targetThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 23′ · 0.60 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 68′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia M'gladbach: 5 shots, 0 on target, 0.36 xG. FC Bayern München: 23 shots, 10 on target, 4.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia M'gladbach 0.36 xG · FC Bayern München 4.35 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Borussia M'gladbach
1Draws
2FC Bayern München
FC Bayern München — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga3–1
Borussia M'gladbach — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–2
Borussia M'gladbach — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga3–2
FC Bayern München — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–1
FC Bayern München — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia M'gladbach favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia M'gladbach16 matchesFC Bayern München16 matches
1.56 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 3 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 0.81 goals/match
1.59 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 2.46 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 19.6 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 8 shots/match
50.3%Possession16/16● 71.8%
4.75 corners/matchCorners16/16● 6.81 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls16/168.38 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Jan 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia M'gladbachFC Bayern München
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headBorussia M'gladbach — FC Bayern München
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required