Bundesliga · 2024

FC Bayern München 5–0 TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga

5–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 5–0.

Shots
255
Shots on target
102
Expected goals
3.420.24
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat TSG Hoffenheim 5–0. Recorded in this match (FC Bayern München – TSG Hoffenheim): shots 25–5, shots on target 10–2, expected goals 3.42–0.24, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

TSG Hoffenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

TSG Hoffenheim's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.62 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.9 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Bayern München · TSG Hoffenheim12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenTSG HoffenheimBaseline
Shots19.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against5.12 shots/match14.9 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

TSG Hoffenheim have a visible away split

moderate

TSG Hoffenheim's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.38 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.38 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots5 shotsFC Bayern München 25 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 5 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots2 shotsFC Bayern München 10 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 2 shots
  • Expected goals3.42 xG0.24 xGFC Bayern München 3.42 xG, TSG Hoffenheim 0.24 xG
  • Possession65%35%FC Bayern München 65%, TSG Hoffenheim 35%
  • Corners13 corners1 cornerFC Bayern München 13 corners, TSG Hoffenheim 1 corner
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsFC Bayern München 8 fouls, TSG Hoffenheim 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gift Orban · TSG Hoffenheim · 46′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFinn Ole Becker · TSG Hoffenheim · 70′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGift Orban · TSG Hoffenheim · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 8′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 74′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 7′ · 0.09 xG · goalJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 56′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 28′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedHaris Tabaković · TSG Hoffenheim · 88′ · 0.13 xG · on targetRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 12′ · 0.14 xG · goalEric Dier · FC Bayern München · 76′ · 0.14 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 54′ · 0.17 xG · on targetMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 85′ · 0.21 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 52′ · 0.24 xG · on targetLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 48′ · 0.28 xG · goalSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 66′ · 0.48 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 26′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Bayern München: 25 shots, 10 on target, 3.47 xG. TSG Hoffenheim: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.25 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Leroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 7′Raphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 12′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 26′Leroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 48′Serge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 3.47 xG · TSG Hoffenheim 0.25 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Bayern München
2Draws
1TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga4–2
FC Bayern München — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga3–0
FC Bayern München — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga1–1
TSG Hoffenheim — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–2
TSG Hoffenheim — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · TSG Hoffenheim in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München17 matchesTSG Hoffenheim17 matches
3.12 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/171.18 goals/match
0.76 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/172 goals/match
2.52 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/171.28 xG/match
19.9 shots/match ▲Shots17/1712.5 shots/match
8.12 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/174.41 shots/match
71.4% ●Possession17/1749.8%
7.18 corners/match ●Corners17/174.88 corners/match
8.35 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 15 Jan 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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