Bundesliga · 2024

FC Bayern München 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 3–2.

Shots
213
Shots on target
91
Expected goals
2.570.17
Possession
74%26%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat VfL Wolfsburg 3–2. Recorded in this match (FC Bayern München – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 21–3, shots on target 9–1, expected goals 2.57–0.17, possession 74%–26%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.9 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Bayern München · VfL Wolfsburg12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenVfL WolfsburgBaseline
Shots19.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against5 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for FC Bayern München, VfL Wolfsburg.

2.79 days ▲Rest daysFC Bayern München · VfL Wolfsburg3.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFC Bayern MünchenVfL WolfsburgBaseline
Rest days2.79 days3.79 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

71.6% ●PossessionFC Bayern München · VfL Wolfsburg42.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 29.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenVfL WolfsburgBaseline
Possession71.6%42.4%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots3 shotsFC Bayern München 21 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 3 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots1 shotFC Bayern München 9 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.57 xG0.17 xGFC Bayern München 2.57 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 0.17 xG
  • Possession74%26%FC Bayern München 74%, VfL Wolfsburg 26%
  • Corners6 corners0 cornersFC Bayern München 6 corners, VfL Wolfsburg 0 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls8 foulsFC Bayern München 7 fouls, VfL Wolfsburg 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Leroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDenis Vavro · VfL Wolfsburg · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Koulierakis · VfL Wolfsburg · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 39′ · 0.03 xG · goalMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 35′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 4′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 20′ · 0.05 xG · goalLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Arnold · VfL Wolfsburg · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 37′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 85′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 5′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 23′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 50′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 81′ · 0.08 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 18′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 24′ · 0.09 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 42′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKim Min-jae · FC Bayern München · 43′ · 0.20 xG · on targetLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 62′ · 0.23 xG · goalKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 7′ · 0.24 xG · on targetSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.24 xG · on targetMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 88′ · 0.25 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 74′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 57′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 70′ · 0.55 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Bayern München: 25 shots, 10 on target, 3.07 xG. VfL Wolfsburg: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Leon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 20′Michael Olise · FC Bayern München · 39′Leon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 62′Mohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 24′Mohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 3.07 xG · VfL Wolfsburg 0.55 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5FC Bayern München
0Draws
0VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga2–3
FC Bayern München — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga2–0
VfL Wolfsburg — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–2
VfL Wolfsburg — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga2–4
FC Bayern München — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München18 matchesVfL Wolfsburg18 matches
3.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/182.22 goals/match
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.78 goals/match
2.52 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.5 xG/match
19.9 shots/match ▲Shots18/1812.4 shots/match
8.17 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/184.5 shots/match
71.6% ●Possession18/1842.4%
7.11 corners/match ●Corners18/184.83 corners/match
8.28 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jan 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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