PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

1. FC Union Berlin 0–2 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Augsburg won 0–2.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.751.26
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Augsburg beat 1. FC Union Berlin 2–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Union Berlin – FC Augsburg): shots 13–11, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.75–1.26, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for FC Augsburg.

4.21 days ▲Rest days1. FC Union Berlin · FC Augsburg3.12 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric1. FC Union BerlinFC AugsburgBaseline
Rest days4.21 days3.12 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

FC Augsburg have a visible away split

moderate

FC Augsburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

1. FC Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

weak

1. FC Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.76 goals/match1.62 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shots1. FC Union Berlin 13 shots, FC Augsburg 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shots1. FC Union Berlin 2 shots, FC Augsburg 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.75 xG1.26 xG1. FC Union Berlin 0.75 xG, FC Augsburg 1.26 xG
  • Possession55%45%1. FC Union Berlin 55%, FC Augsburg 45%
  • Corners7 corners4 corners1. FC Union Berlin 7 corners, FC Augsburg 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls9 fouls1. FC Union Berlin 15 fouls, FC Augsburg 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jérôme Roussillon · 1. FC Union Berlin · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDimitrios Giannoulis · FC Augsburg · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Tousart · 1. FC Union Berlin · 66′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobert Skov · 1. FC Union Berlin · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan Siebatcheu · 1. FC Union Berlin · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Tousart · 1. FC Union Berlin · 10′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrank Onyeka · FC Augsburg · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMert Kömür · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCedric Zesiger · FC Augsburg · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobert Skov · 1. FC Union Berlin · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJordan Siebatcheu · 1. FC Union Berlin · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJordan Siebatcheu · 1. FC Union Berlin · 15′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 43′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 17′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 57′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJordan Siebatcheu · 1. FC Union Berlin · 46′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedChrislain Matsima · FC Augsburg · 68′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 79′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 8′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAndrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 8′ · 0.16 xG · goalAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 30′ · 0.57 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Union Berlin: 13 shots, 2 on target, 0.75 xG. FC Augsburg: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.25 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Alexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 8′Alexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 30′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Union Berlin 0.75 xG · FC Augsburg 1.25 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

01. FC Union Berlin
2Draws
3FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–0
1. FC Union Berlin — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–1
FC Augsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–0
1. FC Union Berlin — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–2
FC Augsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin17 matchesFC Augsburg17 matches
0.76 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.12 goals/match
1.41 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.94 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals16/17▲ 1.07 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots16/1712.1 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on target16/173.65 shots/match
41.4%Possession16/17● 43.1%
4.88 corners/matchCorners16/17● 5 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls16/1711 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 15 Jan 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union BerlinFC Augsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-head1. FC Union Berlin — FC Augsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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