PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

FC Augsburg 0–1 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfB Stuttgart won 0–1.

Shots
813
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.32.43
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfB Stuttgart beat FC Augsburg 1–0. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – VfB Stuttgart): shots 8–13, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.3–2.43, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfB Stuttgart have a visible away split

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match14.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.66 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

VfB Stuttgart have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.9%PossessionFC Augsburg · VfB Stuttgart● 59.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC AugsburgVfB StuttgartBaseline
Possession42.9%59.6%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots13 shotsFC Augsburg 8 shots, VfB Stuttgart 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsFC Augsburg 2 shots, VfB Stuttgart 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.3 xG2.43 xGFC Augsburg 0.3 xG, VfB Stuttgart 2.43 xG
  • Possession43%57%FC Augsburg 43%, VfB Stuttgart 57%
  • Corners3 corners9 cornersFC Augsburg 3 corners, VfB Stuttgart 9 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsFC Augsburg 11 fouls, VfB Stuttgart 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jeff Chabot · VfB Stuttgart · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrank Onyeka · FC Augsburg · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrank Onyeka · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKristijan Jakić · FC Augsburg · 56′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 17′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRobert Gumny · FC Augsburg · 41′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 80′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAnthony Rouault · VfB Stuttgart · 19′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 5′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 63′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJeff Chabot · VfB Stuttgart · 61′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 65′ · 0.19 xG · on targetDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.21 xG · on targetErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 20′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Augsburg: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.31 xG. VfB Stuttgart: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.64 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Augsburg 0.31 xG · VfB Stuttgart 1.64 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Augsburg
1Draws
4VfB Stuttgart
FC Augsburg — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga0–1
VfB Stuttgart — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–0
FC Augsburg — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1–1
VfB Stuttgart — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–1
VfB Stuttgart — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg16 matchesVfB Stuttgart16 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.88 goals/match
2.06 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.56 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.94 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 14.9 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 5.63 shots/match
42.9%Possession16/16● 59.6%
5.06 corners/matchCorners16/16● 5.69 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1610.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jan 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AugsburgVfB Stuttgart
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headFC Augsburg — VfB Stuttgart
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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