PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

FC Augsburg 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Augsburg won 2–1.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
1.030.95
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Augsburg beat 1. FC Heidenheim 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 11–11, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 1.03–0.95, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Augsburg have a visible home split

moderate

FC Augsburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for FC Augsburg, 1. FC Heidenheim.

5.92 days ▲Rest daysFC Augsburg · 1. FC Heidenheim7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFC Augsburg1. FC HeidenheimBaseline
Rest days5.92 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.66 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsFC Augsburg 11 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsFC Augsburg 7 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.03 xG0.95 xGFC Augsburg 1.03 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 0.95 xG
  • Possession60%40%FC Augsburg 60%, 1. FC Heidenheim 40%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersFC Augsburg 6 corners, 1. FC Heidenheim 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsFC Augsburg 8 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marnon Busch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFrans Krätzig · 1. FC Heidenheim · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 86′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 69′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLeo Scienza · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPaul Wanner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKeven Schlotterbeck · FC Augsburg · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeo Scienza · 1. FC Heidenheim · 86′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlexis Claude-Maurice · FC Augsburg · 29′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNoahkai Banks · FC Augsburg · 21′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFrank Onyeka · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRobert Gumny · FC Augsburg · 69′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 76′ · 0.11 xG · goalKeven Schlotterbeck · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.12 xG · goalFrank Onyeka · FC Augsburg · 83′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedChrislain Matsima · FC Augsburg · 38′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedPaul Wanner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 64′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 36′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 22′ · 0.26 xG · on targetAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 53′ · 0.31 xG · on targetChrislain Matsima · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.32 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Augsburg: 11 shots, 7 on target, 1.11 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.19 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Chrislain Matsima · FC Augsburg · 45′Keven Schlotterbeck · FC Augsburg · 90′Patrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Augsburg 1.11 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 1.19 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Augsburg
0Draws
11. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga4–0
FC Augsburg — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga1–0
1. FC Heidenheim — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 2 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg19 matches1. FC Heidenheim19 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.26 goals/match
1.79 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/192.11 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 1.32 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots19/1911.6 shots/match
3.84 shots/matchShots on target19/193.95 shots/match
43.2%Possession19/19● 43.4%
4.89 corners/match ●Corners19/193.79 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jan 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Augsburg1. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headFC Augsburg — 1. FC Heidenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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