PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

1. FC Heidenheim 1–2 Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 1–2.

Shots
1116
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
0.582.41
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat 1. FC Heidenheim 2–1. Recorded in this match (1. FC Heidenheim – Borussia Dortmund): shots 11–16, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 0.58–2.41, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Borussia Dortmund have recorded the higher season possession share.

43%Possession1. FC Heidenheim · Borussia Dortmund● 60%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC HeidenheimBorussia DortmundBaseline
Possession43%60%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible away split

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

1. FC Heidenheim show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

1. FC Heidenheim's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match ▲Shots1. FC Heidenheim · Borussia Dortmund12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FC HeidenheimBorussia DortmundBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against13.6 shots/match10.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots16 shots1. FC Heidenheim 11 shots, Borussia Dortmund 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shots1. FC Heidenheim 5 shots, Borussia Dortmund 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.58 xG2.41 xG1. FC Heidenheim 0.58 xG, Borussia Dortmund 2.41 xG
  • Possession36%64%1. FC Heidenheim 36%, Borussia Dortmund 64%
  • Corners4 corners5 corners1. FC Heidenheim 4 corners, Borussia Dortmund 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 fouls1. FC Heidenheim 11 fouls, Borussia Dortmund 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Omar Haktab Traore · 1. FC Heidenheim · 15′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeo Scienza · 1. FC Heidenheim · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOmar Haktab Traore · 1. FC Heidenheim · 66′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJulian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSalih Özcan · Borussia Dortmund · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJulian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 26′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 64′ · 0.09 xG · goalPascal Groß · Borussia Dortmund · 31′ · 0.10 xG · on targetSirlord Conteh · 1. FC Heidenheim · 56′ · 0.10 xG · on targetWaldemar Anton · Borussia Dortmund · 33′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 84′ · 0.11 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 77′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 9′ · 0.14 xG · on targetRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 10′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedWaldemar Anton · Borussia Dortmund · 78′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 27′ · 0.27 xG · on targetMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 63′ · 0.43 xG · goalSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 33′ · 0.49 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Heidenheim: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.56 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 16 shots, 5 on target, 2.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Mathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 64′Serhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 33′Maximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 0.56 xG · Borussia Dortmund 2.38 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

01. FC Heidenheim
2Draws
1Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga4–2
1. FC Heidenheim — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–0
Borussia Dortmund — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim20 matchesBorussia Dortmund20 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.8 goals/match
2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 1.7 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.53 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 12.9 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 4.4 shots/match
43%Possession20/20● 60%
3.8 corners/matchCorners20/20● 5.35 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls20/209.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Feb 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC HeidenheimBorussia Dortmund
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-head1. FC Heidenheim — Borussia Dortmund
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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