PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Borussia Dortmund 3–1 Shakhtar Donetsk · UEFA Champions League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 3–1.

Shots
157
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
2.430.39
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat Shakhtar Donetsk 3–1. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – Shakhtar Donetsk): shots 15–7, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 2.43–0.39, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Shakhtar Donetsk's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Shakhtar Donetsk's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · Shakhtar Donetsk9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundShakhtar DonetskBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match9.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match17.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible home split

weak

Borussia Dortmund's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots7 shotsBorussia Dortmund 15 shots, Shakhtar Donetsk 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsBorussia Dortmund 7 shots, Shakhtar Donetsk 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.43 xG0.39 xGBorussia Dortmund 2.43 xG, Shakhtar Donetsk 0.39 xG
  • Possession45%55%Borussia Dortmund 45%, Shakhtar Donetsk 55%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerBorussia Dortmund 6 corners, Shakhtar Donetsk 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsBorussia Dortmund 10 fouls, Shakhtar Donetsk 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Oleksandr Zubkov · Shakhtar Donetsk · 12′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPedrinho · Shakhtar Donetsk · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIrakli Azarovi · Shakhtar Donetsk · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeorgiy Sudakov · Shakhtar Donetsk · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 28′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 66′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 2′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 17′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 34′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 34′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 14′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGeorgiy Sudakov · Shakhtar Donetsk · 38′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKevin · Shakhtar Donetsk · 52′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 72′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 44′ · 0.12 xG · goalMarlon Gomes · Shakhtar Donetsk · 50′ · 0.14 xG · goalSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 46′ · 0.31 xG · on targetRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 79′ · 0.64 xG · goalSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 17′ · 0.74 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 15 shots, 7 on target, 2.47 xG. Shakhtar Donetsk: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Serhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 17′Serhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 44′Ramy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 79′Marlon Gomes · Shakhtar Donetsk · 50′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 2.47 xG · Shakhtar Donetsk 0.39 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Shakhtar Donetsk in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund8 matchesShakhtar Donetsk8 matches
2.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81 goal/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/82 goals/match
1.99 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.05 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots8/89.5 shots/match
6.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/82.88 shots/match
54.6% ●Possession8/845%
5.88 corners/match ●Corners8/83.88 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls8/810.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 30 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia DortmundShakhtar Donetsk
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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