UEFA Champions League · 2024Wed, 29 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeHistorical match

VfB Stuttgart

WLLWW

1–4Historical match

Paris Saint-Germain

DLLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	VfB Stuttgart	Paris Saint-Germain
Shots	10 shots/match	13 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.77 xG/match	2.41 xG/match▲
Possession	42%	58%●
Corners	2 corners/match	8 corners/match●
Fouls	10 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Paris Saint-Germain's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.71 corners/match●CornersVfB Stuttgart · Paris Saint-Germain7.13 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	VfB Stuttgart	Paris Saint-Germain	Baseline
Corners	7.71 corners/match	7.13 corners/match	4.88 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Paris Saint-Germain's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.75 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.4 goals/match	1.75 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris Saint-Germain have a visible away split

weak

Paris Saint-Germain's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season18.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	12.3 shots/match	18.6 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

VfB Stuttgart favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 9 · 3 too close

1.63 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/8▲1.75 goals/match

2.13 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲1.13 goals/match

1.71 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/8▲2.05 xG/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/8▲0.87 xG/match

17.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/8▲18.6 shots/match

9.29 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/8▲7.63 shots/match

5.43 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/8▲6.25 shots/match

3.43 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/83.5 shots/match

59.9%Possessionseason · 7/8●61.9%

7.71 corners/match●Cornersseason · 7/87.13 corners/match

3.29 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/8▲2.25 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/89.38 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/8▲25%

88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 8/875%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

VfB Stuttgart88.5

Paris Saint-Germain91

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

VfB Stuttgart66.3

Paris Saint-Germain77

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

VfB Stuttgart58.9

Paris Saint-Germain82.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

VfB Stuttgart78.2

Paris Saint-Germain85.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

VfB Stuttgart75.6

Paris Saint-Germain9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 44%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

VfB Stuttgart93.6

Paris Saint-Germain91

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

VfB Stuttgart80.1

Paris Saint-Germain68.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

VfB Stuttgart8 matchesParis Saint-Germain8 matches

1.63 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.75 goals/match

2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.13 goals/match

1.71 xG/matchExpected goals7/8▲2.05 xG/match

17.4 shots/matchShots7/8▲18.6 shots/match

5.43 shots/matchShots on target7/8▲6.25 shots/match

59.9%Possession7/8●61.9%

7.71 corners/match●Corners7/87.13 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls7/89.38 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

VfB Stuttgart4 matchesParis Saint-Germain4 matches

1.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.75 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲1 goals/match

1.45 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.69 xG/match

16.5 shots/match▲Shots4/412.3 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on target4/44.75 shots/match

59.5%●Possession4/459%

5.25 corners/matchCorners4/45.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.5 fouls/matchFouls4/49.25 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 30 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4