PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Stade Brestois 2–5 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

2–5Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 2–5.

Shots
1414
Shots on target
77
Expected goals
0.873.57
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat Stade Brestois 5–2. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 14–14, shots on target 7–7, expected goals 0.87–3.57, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Brestois · Paris Saint-Germain18.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade BrestoisParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Shots12 shots/match18.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match8.95 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.7%PossessionStade Brestois · Paris Saint-Germain● 69%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricStade BrestoisParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Possession48.7%69%46.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots14 shotsStade Brestois 14 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 14 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots7 shotsStade Brestois 7 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.87 xG3.57 xGStade Brestois 0.87 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 3.57 xG
  • Possession34%66%Stade Brestois 34%, Paris Saint-Germain 66%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersStade Brestois 4 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsStade Brestois 9 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luc Zogbé · Stade Brestois · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKenny Lala · Stade Brestois · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPierre Lees Melou · Stade Brestois · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRomain Faivre · Stade Brestois · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Salah · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPierre Lees Melou · Stade Brestois · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 4′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 56′ · 0.07 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 5′ · 0.09 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 26′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 9′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 57′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 71′ · 0.10 xG · goalRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 50′ · 0.11 xG · goalAbdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 56′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 57′ · 0.13 xG · goalRomain Faivre · Stade Brestois · 31′ · 0.14 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 54′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 19′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 13′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.42 xG · goalOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 62′ · 0.49 xG · goalGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 89′ · 0.65 xG · goalOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 29′ · 0.79 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Brestois: 14 shots, 7 on target, 0.88 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 14 shots, 7 on target, 3.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Romain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 50′Ludovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 71′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 29′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 57′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 62′Gonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 89′Gonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Brestois 0.88 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 3.52 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Stade Brestois
1Draws
4Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Brestois · Ligue 13–1
Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–2
Stade Brestois — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 12–3
Stade Brestois — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–2
Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois20 matchesParis Saint-Germain20 matches
1.55 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 2.7 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 0.95 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals19/20▲ 2.6 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots19/20▲ 18.4 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target19/20▲ 8.5 shots/match
48.7%Possession19/20● 69%
3.79 corners/matchCorners19/20● 7.1 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls19/209.25 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade BrestoisParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headStade Brestois — Paris Saint-Germain
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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