PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

AS Monaco 4–2 Auxerre · Ligue 1

4–2Historical match

Auxerre

DLDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AS Monaco won 4–2.

Shots
1112
Shots on target
67
Expected goals
2.631.57
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Monaco beat Auxerre 4–2. Recorded in this match (AS Monaco – Auxerre): shots 11–12, shots on target 6–7, expected goals 2.63–1.57, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Auxerre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Auxerre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.35 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

AS Monaco have recorded the higher season possession share.

57% ●PossessionAS Monaco · Auxerre42.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAS MonacoAuxerreBaseline
Possession57%42.3%46.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

AS Monaco show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

AS Monaco's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAS Monaco · Auxerre11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAS MonacoAuxerreBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match11.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against10.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots12 shotsAS Monaco 11 shots, Auxerre 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots7 shotsAS Monaco 6 shots, Auxerre 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.63 xG1.57 xGAS Monaco 2.63 xG, Auxerre 1.57 xG
  • Possession58%42%AS Monaco 58%, Auxerre 42%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersAS Monaco 5 corners, Auxerre 4 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls15 foulsAS Monaco 17 fouls, Auxerre 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lamine Camara · AS Monaco · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHamed Junior Traorè · Auxerre · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVanderson · AS Monaco · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHamed Junior Traorè · Auxerre · 44′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMika Biereth · AS Monaco · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Perrin · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHamed Junior Traorè · Auxerre · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSinaly Diomandé · Auxerre · 38′ · 0.04 xG · goalHamed Junior Traorè · Auxerre · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHamed Junior Traorè · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetChristian Mawissa · AS Monaco · 20′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAdo Onaiwu · Auxerre · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThilo Kehrer · AS Monaco · 35′ · 0.07 xG · goalMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 70′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedHan-Noah Massengo · Auxerre · 26′ · 0.13 xG · on targetDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 35′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Perrin · Auxerre · 45′ · 0.13 xG · on targetLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 45′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMika Biereth · AS Monaco · 63′ · 0.32 xG · goalMika Biereth · AS Monaco · 57′ · 0.54 xG · goalMika Biereth · AS Monaco · 65′ · 0.61 xG · goalBreel Embolo · AS Monaco · 86′ · 0.70 xG · on targetJubal · Auxerre · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AS Monaco: 11 shots, 6 on target, 2.59 xG. Auxerre: 12 shots, 7 on target, 1.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Thilo Kehrer · AS Monaco · 35′Mika Biereth · AS Monaco · 57′Mika Biereth · AS Monaco · 63′Mika Biereth · AS Monaco · 65′Sinaly Diomandé · Auxerre · 38′Jubal · Auxerre · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AS Monaco 2.59 xG · Auxerre 1.51 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3AS Monaco
0Draws
0Auxerre
Auxerre — AS Monaco · Ligue 10–3
AS Monaco — Auxerre · Ligue 13–2
Auxerre — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AS Monaco favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Auxerre in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AS Monaco20 matchesAuxerre20 matches
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/201.35 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.65 goals/match
2.17 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/201.23 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots20/2011.5 shots/match
5.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/204.7 shots/match
57% ●Possession20/2042.3%
5.25 corners/match ●Corners20/203.65 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls20/2012 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Feb 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAS MonacoAuxerre
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headAS Monaco — Auxerre
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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