PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Lille 4–1 Saint Etienne · Ligue 1

Lille

DDDWL
4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille won 4–1.

Shots
299
Shots on target
132
Expected goals
3.22.07
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille beat Saint-Étienne 4–1. Recorded in this match (Lille – Saint-Étienne): shots 29–9, shots on target 13–2, expected goals 3.2–2.07, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Saint-Étienne's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Saint-Étienne's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.95 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Saint-Étienne show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Saint-Étienne's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsLille · Saint-Étienne9.95 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLilleSaint-ÉtienneBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match9.95 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against9.7 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Saint-Étienne have a visible away split

moderate

Saint-Étienne's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.09 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.95 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.09 shots/match9.95 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots29 shots9 shotsLille 29 shots, Saint Etienne 9 shots
  • Shots on target13 shots2 shotsLille 13 shots, Saint Etienne 2 shots
  • Expected goals3.2 xG2.07 xGLille 3.2 xG, Saint Etienne 2.07 xG
  • Possession67%33%Lille 67%, Saint Etienne 33%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerLille 7 corners, Saint Etienne 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsLille 11 fouls, Saint Etienne 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 36′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRémy Cabella · Lille · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOsame Sahraoui · Lille · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAugustine Boakye · Saint-Étienne · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndré Gomes · Lille · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlexsandro Ribeiro · Lille · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRémy Cabella · Lille · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Gudmundsson · Lille · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPierre Ekwah · Saint-Étienne · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Gudmundsson · Lille · 72′ · 0.03 xG · goalAndré Gomes · Lille · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Gudmundsson · Lille · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJonathan David · Lille · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJonathan David · Lille · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOsame Sahraoui · Lille · 58′ · 0.05 xG · on targetOsame Sahraoui · Lille · 78′ · 0.05 xG · goalEthan Mbappé · Lille · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedZuriko Davitashvili · Saint-Étienne · 19′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlexsandro Ribeiro · Lille · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetEthan Mbappé · Lille · 67′ · 0.08 xG · on targetEthan Mbappé · Lille · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYounes Lachaab · Lille · 89′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Bouchouari · Saint-Étienne · 23′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlexsandro Ribeiro · Lille · 25′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRémy Cabella · Lille · 37′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedZuriko Davitashvili · Saint-Étienne · 57′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRémy Cabella · Lille · 50′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAndré Gomes · Lille · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJonathan David · Lille · 88′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedLucas Stassin · Saint-Étienne · 35′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedOsame Sahraoui · Lille · 90′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Saint-Étienne · 29′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedZuriko Davitashvili · Saint-Étienne · 57′ · 0.44 xG · on targetZuriko Davitashvili · Saint-Étienne · 6′ · 0.82 xG · goalJonathan David · Lille · 32′ · 0.82 xG · goalOsame Sahraoui · Lille · 63′ · 0.83 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lille: 29 shots, 13 on target, 3.40 xG. Saint-Étienne: 9 shots, 2 on target, 2.12 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Jonathan David · Lille · 32′Osame Sahraoui · Lille · 63′Gabriel Gudmundsson · Lille · 72′Osame Sahraoui · Lille · 78′Zuriko Davitashvili · Saint-Étienne · 6′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lille 3.40 xG · Saint-Étienne 2.12 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lille
2Draws
1Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne — Lille · Ligue 11–0
Lille — Saint Etienne · Ligue 10–0
Saint Etienne — Lille · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Saint Etienne in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille20 matchesSaint Etienne20 matches
1.65 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/200.95 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed20/202.15 goals/match
1.71 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/201.07 xG/match
13.1 shots/match ▲Shots20/209.95 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/203.15 shots/match
58.3% ●Possession20/2044.4%
4.8 corners/match ●Corners20/203.2 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls20/2013.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Feb 2025, 00:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLilleSaint Etienne
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headLille — Saint Etienne
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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