PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Young Boys 0–1 FK Crvena zvezda · UEFA Champions League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FK Crvena zvezda won 0–1.

Shots
818
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.391.77
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

FK Crvena zvezda beat Young Boys 1–0. Recorded in this match (Young Boys – FK Crvena zvezda): shots 8–18, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.39–1.77, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FK Crvena zvezda's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FK Crvena zvezda's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.6 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FK Crvena zvezda show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FK Crvena zvezda's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsYoung Boys · FK Crvena zvezda12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricYoung BoysFK Crvena zvezdaBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against18.6 shots/match14.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Young Boys have a visible home split

moderate

Young Boys's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots18 shotsYoung Boys 8 shots, FK Crvena zvezda 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsYoung Boys 3 shots, FK Crvena zvezda 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.39 xG1.77 xGYoung Boys 0.39 xG, FK Crvena zvezda 1.77 xG
  • Possession41%59%Young Boys 41%, FK Crvena zvezda 59%
  • Corners4 corners10 cornersYoung Boys 4 corners, FK Crvena zvezda 10 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsYoung Boys 13 fouls, FK Crvena zvezda 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mirko Ivanić · FK Crvena zvezda · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTimi Max Elšnik · FK Crvena zvezda · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRade Krunić · FK Crvena zvezda · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSandro Lauper · Young Boys · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCherif Ndiaye · FK Crvena zvezda · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSilas · FK Crvena zvezda · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRade Krunić · FK Crvena zvezda · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCédric Itten · Young Boys · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYoung-woo Seol · FK Crvena zvezda · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrija Maksimović · FK Crvena zvezda · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSilvère Ganvoula · Young Boys · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGuélor Kanga · FK Crvena zvezda · 69′ · 0.03 xG · goalYoung-woo Seol · FK Crvena zvezda · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDarian Maleš · Young Boys · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMirko Ivanić · FK Crvena zvezda · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoël Monteiro · Young Boys · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMirko Ivanić · FK Crvena zvezda · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlan Virginius · Young Boys · 88′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMirko Ivanić · FK Crvena zvezda · 39′ · 0.08 xG · on targetCherif Ndiaye · FK Crvena zvezda · 57′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAndrija Maksimović · FK Crvena zvezda · 48′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSilas · FK Crvena zvezda · 54′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSandro Lauper · Young Boys · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDarian Maleš · Young Boys · 20′ · 0.14 xG · on targetSilas · FK Crvena zvezda · 64′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedCherif Ndiaye · FK Crvena zvezda · 44′ · 0.89 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Young Boys: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.44 xG. FK Crvena zvezda: 18 shots, 3 on target, 1.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Guélor Kanga · FK Crvena zvezda · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Young Boys 0.44 xG · FK Crvena zvezda 1.73 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Young Boys
1Draws
0FK Crvena zvezda
Young Boys — FK Crvena zvezda · UEFA Champions League2–0
FK Crvena zvezda — Young Boys · UEFA Champions League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Young Boys favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FK Crvena zvezda in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Young Boys10 matchesFK Crvena zvezda10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.6 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 2.4 goals/match
0.71 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.18 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 12.3 shots/match
2.9 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 4.1 shots/match
41.9%Possession10/10● 43.2%
4.2 corners/matchCorners10/10● 5 corners/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 30 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsYoung BoysFK Crvena zvezda
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
Head-to-headYoung Boys — FK Crvena zvezda
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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