PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

VfB Stuttgart 1–2 Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia M'gladbach won 1–2.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.161.7
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia M'gladbach beat VfB Stuttgart 2–1. Recorded in this match (VfB Stuttgart – Borussia M'gladbach): shots 10–12, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.16–1.7, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia M'gladbach's recent record differs from the season

weak

Borussia M'gladbach's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfB Stuttgart have a visible home split

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.7 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

VfB Stuttgart show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

VfB Stuttgart's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsVfB Stuttgart · Borussia M'gladbach12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVfB StuttgartBorussia M'gladbachBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match15.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsVfB Stuttgart 10 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsVfB Stuttgart 3 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.16 xG1.7 xGVfB Stuttgart 1.16 xG, Borussia M'gladbach 1.7 xG
  • Possession54%46%VfB Stuttgart 54%, Borussia M'gladbach 46%
  • Corners2 corners0 cornersVfB Stuttgart 2 corners, Borussia M'gladbach 0 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsVfB Stuttgart 11 fouls, Borussia M'gladbach 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3VfB Stuttgart
0Draws
2Borussia M'gladbach
Borussia M'gladbach — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1–3
VfB Stuttgart — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga4–0
Borussia M'gladbach — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga3–1
VfB Stuttgart — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga2–1
Borussia M'gladbach — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfB Stuttgart favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia M'gladbach in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfB Stuttgart20 matchesBorussia M'gladbach20 matches
1.85 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/201.6 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed20/201.5 goals/match
1.89 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/201.56 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots20/2012.9 shots/match
5.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/205.05 shots/match
58.7% ●Possession20/2051%
5.2 corners/match ●Corners20/204.85 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls20/2011 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Feb 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfB StuttgartBorussia M'gladbach
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headVfB Stuttgart — Borussia M'gladbach
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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