PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

FC St. Pauli 1–1 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC St. Pauli and FC Augsburg drew 1–1.

Shots
52
Shots on target
11
Expected goals
0.490.32
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC St. Pauli and FC Augsburg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (FC St. Pauli – FC Augsburg): shots 5–2, shots on target 1–1, expected goals 0.49–0.32, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC St. Pauli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC St. Pauli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.9 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.9 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Augsburg have a visible away split

strong

FC Augsburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.3 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC Augsburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Augsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsFC St. Pauli · FC Augsburg11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC St. PauliFC AugsburgBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots2 shotsFC St. Pauli 5 shots, FC Augsburg 2 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot1 shotFC St. Pauli 1 shot, FC Augsburg 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.49 xG0.32 xGFC St. Pauli 0.49 xG, FC Augsburg 0.32 xG
  • Possession45%55%FC St. Pauli 45%, FC Augsburg 55%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerFC St. Pauli 3 corners, FC Augsburg 1 corner
  • Fouls16 fouls18 foulsFC St. Pauli 16 fouls, FC Augsburg 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC St. Pauli
0Draws
1FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg — FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga3–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC St. Pauli favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC St. Pauli20 matchesFC Augsburg20 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.75 goals/match
1.07 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/201.02 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots20/2011.4 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 3.7 shots/match
43.5%Possession20/20● 43.8%
3.8 corners/matchCorners20/20● 4.7 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls20/2011.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Feb 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC St. PauliFC Augsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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