PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

SC Freiburg 1–0 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Freiburg won 1–0.

Shots
911
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.980.52
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Freiburg beat 1. FC Heidenheim 1–0. Recorded in this match (SC Freiburg – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 9–11, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.98–0.52, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Freiburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Freiburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots11 shotsSC Freiburg 9 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsSC Freiburg 3 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.98 xG0.52 xGSC Freiburg 0.98 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 0.52 xG
  • Possession53%47%SC Freiburg 53%, 1. FC Heidenheim 47%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersSC Freiburg 6 corners, 1. FC Heidenheim 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls8 foulsSC Freiburg 11 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marnon Busch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 39′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Lienhart · SC Freiburg · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPaul Wanner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatthias Ginter · SC Freiburg · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJunior Adamu · SC Freiburg · 68′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 74′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBenedikt Gimber · 1. FC Heidenheim · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · SC Freiburg · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOmar Haktab Traore · 1. FC Heidenheim · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 79′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 88′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 56′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 70′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 59′ · 0.13 xG · on targetVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 50′ · 0.14 xG · on targetNicolas Höfler · SC Freiburg · 78′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 30′ · 0.44 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Freiburg: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.97 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Vincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 30′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Freiburg 0.97 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 0.52 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SC Freiburg
1Draws
11. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–3
SC Freiburg — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Heidenheim — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Freiburg favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Freiburg21 matches1. FC Heidenheim21 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/211.19 goals/match
1.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/212.05 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals21/211.25 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots21/2111.5 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/214.05 shots/match
47.9% ●Possession21/2143.2%
4.1 corners/match ●Corners21/213.76 corners/match
8.76 fouls/matchFouls21/2111.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Feb 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC Freiburg1. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headSC Freiburg — 1. FC Heidenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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