PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

FC St. Pauli 0–1 SC Freiburg · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Freiburg won 0–1.

Shots
55
Shots on target
13
Expected goals
0.171.26
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Freiburg beat FC St. Pauli 1–0. Recorded in this match (FC St. Pauli – SC Freiburg): shots 5–5, shots on target 1–3, expected goals 0.17–1.26, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC St. Pauli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC St. Pauli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.82 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots5 shotsFC St. Pauli 5 shots, SC Freiburg 5 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot3 shotsFC St. Pauli 1 shot, SC Freiburg 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.17 xG1.26 xGFC St. Pauli 0.17 xG, SC Freiburg 1.26 xG
  • Possession54%46%FC St. Pauli 54%, SC Freiburg 46%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersFC St. Pauli 2 corners, SC Freiburg 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsFC St. Pauli 10 fouls, SC Freiburg 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC St. Pauli
0Draws
0SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg — FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga0–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC St. Pauli favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · SC Freiburg in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC St. Pauli22 matchesSC Freiburg22 matches
0.82 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.32 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.64 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.28 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 12 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 4.27 shots/match
44%Possession22/22● 47.8%
3.73 corners/matchCorners22/22● 4.18 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls22/228.82 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Feb 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC St. PauliSC Freiburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required