PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

1. FC Union Berlin 1–2 Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia M'gladbach won 1–2.

Shots
189
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
22.11
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia M'gladbach beat 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1. Recorded in this match (1. FC Union Berlin – Borussia M'gladbach): shots 18–9, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 2–2.11, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.91 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Borussia M'gladbach have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.2%Possession1. FC Union Berlin · Borussia M'gladbach● 51%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC Union BerlinBorussia M'gladbachBaseline
Possession42.2%51%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shots1. FC Union Berlin 18 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shots1. FC Union Berlin 3 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 5 shots
  • Expected goals2 xG2.11 xG1. FC Union Berlin 2 xG, Borussia M'gladbach 2.11 xG
  • Possession51%49%1. FC Union Berlin 51%, Borussia M'gladbach 49%
  • Corners4 corners5 corners1. FC Union Berlin 4 corners, Borussia M'gladbach 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls8 fouls1. FC Union Berlin 9 fouls, Borussia M'gladbach 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Benedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLászló Bénes · 1. FC Union Berlin · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobert Skov · 1. FC Union Berlin · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 42′ · 0.03 xG · on targetWoo-Yeong Jeong · 1. FC Union Berlin · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoe Scally · Borussia M'gladbach · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIvan Prtajin · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDanilho Doekhi · 1. FC Union Berlin · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLászló Bénes · 1. FC Union Berlin · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTom Alexander Rothe · 1. FC Union Berlin · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 86′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDanilho Doekhi · 1. FC Union Berlin · 23′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNico Elvedi · Borussia M'gladbach · 38′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 2′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDanilho Doekhi · 1. FC Union Berlin · 52′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDanilho Doekhi · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 39′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJanik Haberer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 55′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 45′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 55′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedLukas Ullrich · Borussia M'gladbach · 10′ · 0.26 xG · goalNathan N'Goumou · Borussia M'gladbach · 45′ · 0.29 xG · on targetTim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 80′ · 0.33 xG · on targetAndrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 63′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Union Berlin: 18 shots, 3 on target, 2.05 xG. Borussia M'gladbach: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.14 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Andrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 63′Lukas Ullrich · Borussia M'gladbach · 10′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Union Berlin 2.05 xG · Borussia M'gladbach 1.14 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

31. FC Union Berlin
1Draws
1Borussia M'gladbach
Borussia M'gladbach — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–0
Borussia M'gladbach — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga0–0
1. FC Union Berlin — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga3–1
Borussia M'gladbach — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga0–1
1. FC Union Berlin — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia M'gladbach in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin22 matchesBorussia M'gladbach22 matches
0.91 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.59 goals/match
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.45 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals21/22▲ 1.53 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots21/2212.5 shots/match
3.81 shots/matchShots on target21/22▲ 4.95 shots/match
42.2%Possession21/22● 51%
4.71 corners/matchCorners21/22● 4.91 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls21/2210.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Feb 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union BerlinBorussia M'gladbach
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-head1. FC Union Berlin — Borussia M'gladbach
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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