PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

TSG Hoffenheim 0–4 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga

0–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Union Berlin won 0–4.

Shots
1622
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
0.982.88
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Union Berlin beat TSG Hoffenheim 4–0. Recorded in this match (TSG Hoffenheim – 1. FC Union Berlin): shots 16–22, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 0.98–2.88, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.9 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.9 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

TSG Hoffenheim have a visible home split

moderate

TSG Hoffenheim's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

TSG Hoffenheim have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.6% ●PossessionTSG Hoffenheim · 1. FC Union Berlin41.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricTSG Hoffenheim1. FC Union BerlinBaseline
Possession50.6%41.8%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots22 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 16 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 22 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 4 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.98 xG2.88 xGTSG Hoffenheim 0.98 xG, 1. FC Union Berlin 2.88 xG
  • Possession64%36%TSG Hoffenheim 64%, 1. FC Union Berlin 36%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersTSG Hoffenheim 8 corners, 1. FC Union Berlin 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls16 foulsTSG Hoffenheim 9 fouls, 1. FC Union Berlin 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Robert Skov · 1. FC Union Berlin · 22′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAdam Hložek · TSG Hoffenheim · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Prass · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWoo-Yeong Jeong · 1. FC Union Berlin · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRani Khedira · 1. FC Union Berlin · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDanilho Doekhi · 1. FC Union Berlin · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWoo-Yeong Jeong · 1. FC Union Berlin · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarius Bülter · TSG Hoffenheim · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdam Hložek · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIvan Prtajin · 1. FC Union Berlin · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMax Moerstedt · TSG Hoffenheim · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIvan Prtajin · 1. FC Union Berlin · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRani Khedira · 1. FC Union Berlin · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWoo-Yeong Jeong · 1. FC Union Berlin · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 43′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLeo Østigård · TSG Hoffenheim · 58′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLeo Østigård · TSG Hoffenheim · 19′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 66′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAdam Hložek · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 24′ · 0.11 xG · goalBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 87′ · 0.11 xG · goalIvan Prtajin · 1. FC Union Berlin · 33′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 35′ · 0.12 xG · on targetIvan Prtajin · 1. FC Union Berlin · 27′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 44′ · 0.16 xG · on targetAdam Hložek · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.20 xG · on targetMarin Ljubičić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 61′ · 0.40 xG · goalAndrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 73′ · 0.42 xG · goalWoo-Yeong Jeong · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · 1. FC Union Berlin · 24′ · 0.54 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

TSG Hoffenheim: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.11 xG. 1. FC Union Berlin: 22 shots, 7 on target, 2.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Benedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 24′Marin Ljubičić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 61′Andrej Ilić · 1. FC Union Berlin · 73′Benedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: TSG Hoffenheim 1.11 xG · 1. FC Union Berlin 2.95 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2TSG Hoffenheim
0Draws
31. FC Union Berlin
1. FC Union Berlin — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–1
TSG Hoffenheim — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga0–1
1. FC Union Berlin — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga0–2
TSG Hoffenheim — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga4–2
1. FC Union Berlin — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: TSG Hoffenheim favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

TSG Hoffenheim21 matches1. FC Union Berlin21 matches
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/210.9 goals/match
2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/201.14 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots21/2013 shots/match
4.76 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/203.85 shots/match
50.6% ●Possession21/2041.8%
5.05 corners/match ●Corners21/204.75 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls21/2013.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Feb 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTSG Hoffenheim1. FC Union Berlin
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headTSG Hoffenheim — 1. FC Union Berlin
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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